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FLORIDA
STORMS
Tropical Storm Wilfred
LOCATED
735 MI WSW OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS
WINDS
40 MPH
PRESSURE
1008 MB
MOVING
WNW AT 18 MPH
From the National Hurricane Center at 500 PM AST Fri Sep 18 2020
WILFRED COULD STRENGTHEN OVERNIGHT
TAP LINKS BELOW TO FOCUS
Alerts
hazards
summary
DISCUSSION

There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

None

None

At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Wilfred was located near latitude 12.5 North, longitude 34.4 West. Wilfred is moving toward the westnorthwest near 18 mph (30 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue for the next few days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Wilfred could strengthen a little overnight and Saturday before weakening likely begins by Sunday.

Tropicalstormforce winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km) from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches).

At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Wilfred was located near latitude 12.5 North, longitude 34.4 West. Wilfred is moving toward the westnorthwest near 18 mph (30 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue for the next few days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Wilfred could strengthen a little overnight and Saturday before weakening likely begins by Sunday.

Tropicalstormforce winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km) from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches).

haven't been a lot of changes with Wilfred today, with the northern side of the circulation looking rather dry while the center remains close to a burst of convection. The initial wind speed is kept 35 kt, closest to the TAFB classification. Wilfred could strengthen some during the next day or so before increasing upper-level westerlies winds likely begin by Sunday. A gradual weakening is expected into early next week, though the model guidance is in worse agreement than the last advisory due to the positioning of an upper-level low. The forecast continues to show the storm ending up on the convergent side of the low and dissipating, close to the previous one. Wilfred is moving west-northwestward at about 16 kt, after accounting for a re-positioning westward. Most of the guidance agrees on a scenario that maintains this track for the next few days, with a turn toward the west as the cyclones dissipates. The new forecast is closest to the GFS-based guidance. Similar to the intensity forecast, however, there are some models that suggest Wilfred could slow down and turn to the right in a couple of days if it is stronger than anticipated.

haven't been a lot of changes with Wilfred today, with the northern side of the circulation looking rather dry while the center remains close to a burst of convection. The initial wind speed is kept 35 kt, closest to the TAFB classification. Wilfred could strengthen some during the next day or so before increasing upper-level westerlies winds likely begin by Sunday. A gradual weakening is expected into early next week, though the model guidance is in worse agreement than the last advisory due to the positioning of an upper-level low. The forecast continues to show the storm ending up on the convergent side of the low and dissipating, close to the previous one. Wilfred is moving west-northwestward at about 16 kt, after accounting for a re-positioning westward. Most of the guidance agrees on a scenario that maintains this track for the next few days, with a turn toward the west as the cyclones dissipates. The new forecast is closest to the GFS-based guidance. Similar to the intensity forecast, however, there are some models that suggest Wilfred could slow down and turn to the right in a couple of days if it is stronger than anticipated.

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