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FLORIDA
STORMS
Tropical Storm Colin
LOCATED
10 MI WSW OF MYRTLE BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA
WINDS
40 MPH
PRESSURE
1014 MB
MOVING
NE AT 7 MPH
From the National Hurricane Center at 200 PM EDT Sat Jul 02 2022
Disorganized colin continues to produce heavy rains and strong winds along and off the North Carolina coast.
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DISCUSSION

1. Tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area along the North Carolina coast this afternoon into Sunday.

2. Rough surf and rip currents are likely to continue along the North Carolina coast through Sunday.

3. Areas of heavy rainfall may result in localized flash flooding across portions of coastal North Carolina through Sunday morning.

1. Tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area along the North Carolina coast this afternoon into Sunday.

2. Rough surf and rip currents are likely to continue along the North Carolina coast through Sunday.

3. Areas of heavy rainfall may result in localized flash flooding across portions of coastal North Carolina through Sunday morning.

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
- North of Little River, South Carolina, to Duck, North Carolina
- Pamlico Sound

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within 24 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office.

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
- North of Little River, South Carolina, to Duck, North Carolina
- Pamlico Sound

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within 24 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area in North Carolina later this afternoon through early Sunday.

RAINFALL: Colin will continue to produce locally heavy rainfall across portions of coastal South and North Carolina through Sunday morning. An additional 1 to 2 inches of rainfall, with isolated amounts up to 4 inches in eastern North Carolina, are possible. This rainfall may result in localized areas of flash flooding.

SURF: Swells generated by Colin are affecting portions of the North Carolina coast. These swells could cause lifethreatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area in North Carolina later this afternoon through early Sunday.

RAINFALL: Colin will continue to produce locally heavy rainfall across portions of coastal South and North Carolina through Sunday morning. An additional 1 to 2 inches of rainfall, with isolated amounts up to 4 inches in eastern North Carolina, are possible. This rainfall may result in localized areas of flash flooding.

SURF: Swells generated by Colin are affecting portions of the North Carolina coast. These swells could cause lifethreatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.

At 200 PM EDT (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Colin was located near latitude 33.6 North, longitude 79.0 West. Colin is moving toward the northeast near 7 mph (11 km/h). A slightly faster northeast to eastnortheast motion is expected during the next day or two. On the forecast track, the center of Colin is expected to move northeastward along or just inland of the South Carolina and North Carolina coasts through Sunday morning, and then emerge over the western Atlantic Ocean late Sunday.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next day or so, but Colin is expected to dissipate by early Monday.

Tropicalstormforce winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km) mainly southeast of the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1014 mb (29.94 inches).

At 200 PM EDT (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Colin was located near latitude 33.6 North, longitude 79.0 West. Colin is moving toward the northeast near 7 mph (11 km/h). A slightly faster northeast to eastnortheast motion is expected during the next day or two. On the forecast track, the center of Colin is expected to move northeastward along or just inland of the South Carolina and North Carolina coasts through Sunday morning, and then emerge over the western Atlantic Ocean late Sunday.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next day or so, but Colin is expected to dissipate by early Monday.

Tropicalstormforce winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km) mainly southeast of the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1014 mb (29.94 inches).

The center of Colin remains just inland over eastern South Carolina this morning, but nearly all of the heavy rains and strong winds are off the coastline of South and North Carolina. This asymmetric structure is due to about 20 kt of northwesterly shear, and since the shear is not expected to abate, the worst weather conditions should remain along and off the coast throughout the day and into Sunday. The initial intensity remains 35 kt for this advisory. Colin's future looks pretty short. An approaching cold front will likely cause the circulation to become increasingly elongated tonight and Sunday, and the system is expected to dissipate or merge with the front by early Monday. Little change in intensity is expected prior to dissipation.

The storm is moving northeastward at 6 kt. A slightly faster northeast to east-northeast motion is expected, which should take the center of Colin along or just offshore of the Carolina coast during the next 24 hours, followed by a track over the western Atlantic. The NHC track forecast lies near the middle of the guidance envelope.

The center of Colin remains just inland over eastern South Carolina this morning, but nearly all of the heavy rains and strong winds are off the coastline of South and North Carolina. This asymmetric structure is due to about 20 kt of northwesterly shear, and since the shear is not expected to abate, the worst weather conditions should remain along and off the coast throughout the day and into Sunday. The initial intensity remains 35 kt for this advisory. Colin's future looks pretty short. An approaching cold front will likely cause the circulation to become increasingly elongated tonight and Sunday, and the system is expected to dissipate or merge with the front by early Monday. Little change in intensity is expected prior to dissipation.

The storm is moving northeastward at 6 kt. A slightly faster northeast to east-northeast motion is expected, which should take the center of Colin along or just offshore of the Carolina coast during the next 24 hours, followed by a track over the western Atlantic. The NHC track forecast lies near the middle of the guidance envelope.

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