There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Key messages for Claudette can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3, WMO header WTNT43 KNHC, and on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/graphics_at3.shtml?key_messages. RAINFALL: Rainfall will be coming to an end this morning across the Outer Banks of North Carolina and far southeast Virginia. Additional rainfall amounts of an inch are possible across far southeastern Virginia and the northern Outer Banks over the next few hours. Isolated flash, urban, and small stream flooding impacts are possible.

For the latest rainfall reports and wind gusts associated with Tropical Storm Claudette, see the companion storm summary at WBCSCCNS3 with the WMO header ACUS43 KWBC or at the following link: https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfdscc3.html For the latest rainfall reports and wind gusts associated with Claudette, see the companion storm summary at WBCSCCNS3 with the WMO header ACUS43 KWBC or at the following link: https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfdscc3.html

At 1100 AM EDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Claudette was located near latitude 37.0 North, longitude 75.0 West. Claudette is moving toward the eastnortheast near 28 mph (44 km/h). An eastnortheastward to northeastward motion with some increase in forward speed is expected over the next day or so. On the forecast track, the system will cross into the western Atlantic Ocean later this morning, and pass just south of Nova Scotia on Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. These winds are occurring mostly over water, southeast of Claudette's center. Some additional slight strengthening is possible over the western Atlantic Ocean today. Claudette is forecast to become a posttropical cyclone Tuesday afternoon and dissipate late Tuesday night. Tropicalstormforce winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure based on surface observations is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).

Claudette's low-level center is estimated to be back over water. However, it is difficult to locate in surface observation data due to the broad inner-core wind field and elongated pressure envelope near the NC/VA coasts in which the cyclone is embedded. For now, the surface center has been placed close to the low- to mid-level circulation center noted in KAKQ and KMHX Doppler radar data. The initial intensity is being maintained at 35 kt based on a 1200 UTC 32-kt wind report from ship 3EVZ8 located about 130 nmi southeast of the center.

Claudette continues to accelerate east-northeastward and the motion is now 060/24 kt. The track forecast and discussion remain pretty straightforward. Claudette is now caught up in the deep-layer west-southwesterly flow on the north side of a broad subtropical ridge and ahead of a mid-latitude trough currently moving into the eastern and southeastern United States. The cyclone or its remnants will gradually lift out toward the northeast ahead of the approaching mid-latitude trough by tonight, with that motion continuing through Tuesday. The new NHC track forecast is similar to the previous advisory track, and lies close to a blend of consensus track models TVCA, GFEX, and HCCA. As Claudette continues to accelerate, its increased forward speed could result in the low-level wind field opening up into a trough, which would result in the cessation of the system as a tropical cyclone. For now, however, the assumption is that the cyclone could strengthen a little more, which would allow for the surface wind field to remain closed today and into Tuesday until the system weakens over the cold North Atlantic waters north of the Gulf Stream, which is located along roughly 38N latitude. As a result, Claudette is forecast to become a post-tropical remnant low in about 24 h, follows by dissipation in about 48 h. The official NHC intensity forecast remains very similar to the previous one, and the track closely follows the intensity consensus models HCCA and IVCN.

Key Message:

1. Heavy rain from Claudette will continue to diminish this morning across far southeast Virginia and the Outer Banks of North Carolina. Isolated flash, urban, and small stream flooding impacts are possible.