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FLORIDA
STORMS
Tropical Depression Five
LOCATED
90 MI W OF BERMUDA
WINDS
35 MPH
PRESSURE
1008 MB
MOVING
NE AT 18 MPH
From the National Hurricane Center at 1100 PM AST Sat Jul 04 , 2020
DEPRESSION FORECAST TO MOVE PAST BERMUDA OVERNIGHT
TAP LINKS BELOW TO FOCUS
Alerts
hazards
summary
DISCUSSION

There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in Bermuda should monitor the progress of this system.

There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in Bermuda should monitor the progress of this system.


WIND: [TOP] Tropical Depression Five could cause gusty conditions on Bermuda and over the nearby waters later tonight. The Bermuda Weather Service has issued a Gale Warning. For more information please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. RAIN: Tropical Depression Five is expected to produce total rain accumulations of less than 1 inch with possible isolated maximum amounts of 3 inches in Bermuda.


WIND: [TOP] Tropical Depression Five could cause gusty conditions on Bermuda and over the nearby waters later tonight. The Bermuda Weather Service has issued a Gale Warning. For more information please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. RAIN: Tropical Depression Five is expected to produce total rain accumulations of less than 1 inch with possible isolated maximum amounts of 3 inches in Bermuda.

At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Five was located near latitude 32.5 North, longitude 66.3 West. The depression is moving toward the northeast near 18 mph (30 km/h), and this general motion with some increase in forward speed is expected for the next couple of days. On the forecast track, the center of the depression will move to the north of Bermuda overnight. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours, although the system still could become a tropical storm during that time. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches).

At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Five was located near latitude 32.5 North, longitude 66.3 West. The depression is moving toward the northeast near 18 mph (30 km/h), and this general motion with some increase in forward speed is expected for the next couple of days. On the forecast track, the center of the depression will move to the north of Bermuda overnight. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours, although the system still could become a tropical storm during that time. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches).

Tropical Depression Five Discussion Number 3 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052020 1100 PM AST Sat Jul 04 2020 The depression remains poorly organized, with a shrinking area of deep convection to the south of the partially exposed center. The intensity remains 30 kt pending receipt of scatterometer data this evening, perhaps generously. The cyclone should accelerate to the east-northeast over the next couple of days as it encounters stronger mid-level flow. Track guidance is tightly clustered, and no significant changes were made to the previous forecast. After tonight's diurnal convective maximum period, the chances of the depression to strengthen are fairly low due to increasing shear and cooler waters. Thus only a slight increase in wind speed is forecast, similar to the model consensus. Extratropical transition is shown in a couple of days due to the system becoming embedded in a front and a mid-level trough. It is possible, however, that the depression will open up into a trough on Sunday, as suggested by the latest GFS model, but for now this forecast maintains continuity with the previous one. Locally heavy rain and gusty winds from the depression should start on Bermuda during the next few hours.

Tropical Depression Five Discussion Number 3 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052020 1100 PM AST Sat Jul 04 2020 The depression remains poorly organized, with a shrinking area of deep convection to the south of the partially exposed center. The intensity remains 30 kt pending receipt of scatterometer data this evening, perhaps generously. The cyclone should accelerate to the east-northeast over the next couple of days as it encounters stronger mid-level flow. Track guidance is tightly clustered, and no significant changes were made to the previous forecast. After tonight's diurnal convective maximum period, the chances of the depression to strengthen are fairly low due to increasing shear and cooler waters. Thus only a slight increase in wind speed is forecast, similar to the model consensus. Extratropical transition is shown in a couple of days due to the system becoming embedded in a front and a mid-level trough. It is possible, however, that the depression will open up into a trough on Sunday, as suggested by the latest GFS model, but for now this forecast maintains continuity with the previous one. Locally heavy rain and gusty winds from the depression should start on Bermuda during the next few hours.

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