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FLORIDA
STORMS
Tropical Depression Five
LOCATED
185 MI NE OF BERMUDA
WINDS
35 MPH
PRESSURE
1008 MB
MOVING
NE AT 21 MPH
From the National Hurricane Center at 1100 AM AST Sun Jul 05 , 2020
DEPRESSION ACCELERATING NORTHEASTWARD AWAY FROM BERMUDA
TAP LINKS BELOW TO FOCUS
Alerts
hazards
summary
DISCUSSION

There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


WIND: [TOP] Gusty winds associated with Tropical Depression Five in and around Bermuda should decrease through the afternoon. For more information please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. RAIN: Tropical Depression Five is expected to produce total rain accumulations of less than 1 inch with possible isolated maximum amounts of 3 inches in Bermuda. Showers associated with the depression should decrease through the afternoon.


WIND: [TOP] Gusty winds associated with Tropical Depression Five in and around Bermuda should decrease through the afternoon. For more information please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. RAIN: Tropical Depression Five is expected to produce total rain accumulations of less than 1 inch with possible isolated maximum amounts of 3 inches in Bermuda. Showers associated with the depression should decrease through the afternoon.

At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Five was located near latitude 34.5 North, longitude 63.0 West. The depression is moving quickly toward the northeast near 21 mph (33 km/h). A faster northeastward or east-northeastward motion is expected for the next couple of days. On the forecast track, the depression will accelerate away from Bermuda today. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast today. The depression could become a tropical storm today or tonight before it becomes post-tropical on Monday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches).

At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Five was located near latitude 34.5 North, longitude 63.0 West. The depression is moving quickly toward the northeast near 21 mph (33 km/h). A faster northeastward or east-northeastward motion is expected for the next couple of days. On the forecast track, the depression will accelerate away from Bermuda today. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast today. The depression could become a tropical storm today or tonight before it becomes post-tropical on Monday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches).

Tropical Depression Five Discussion Number 5 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052020 1100 AM AST Sun Jul 05 2020

The depression is accelerating northeastward, away from Bermuda. It continues to produce deep convection primarily to the south of its center with little change in organization since yesterday. The most recent TAFB Dvorak classification supports maintaining the intensity at 30 kt. Scatterometer data that will likely arrive after the issuance of this advisory may provide more information about the current surface wind structure of the cyclone.

No substantial changes were made to the NHC forecast. The cyclone will continue to accelerate northeastward or east-northeastward during the next day or two. It is possible that the depression could open into a trough at some point today as its forward speed increases, but most of the dynamical guidance indicates it will persist long enough to undergo extratropical transition on Monday. Minimal strengthening is possible today as the forward speed of the depression increases and it begins to get some positive baroclinic support. In fact, nearly all of the global models indicate that the system will produce tropical-storm-force winds around the time it becomes fully extratropical, and this is reflected in the official forecast.

Tropical Depression Five Discussion Number 5 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052020 1100 AM AST Sun Jul 05 2020

The depression is accelerating northeastward, away from Bermuda. It continues to produce deep convection primarily to the south of its center with little change in organization since yesterday. The most recent TAFB Dvorak classification supports maintaining the intensity at 30 kt. Scatterometer data that will likely arrive after the issuance of this advisory may provide more information about the current surface wind structure of the cyclone.

No substantial changes were made to the NHC forecast. The cyclone will continue to accelerate northeastward or east-northeastward during the next day or two. It is possible that the depression could open into a trough at some point today as its forward speed increases, but most of the dynamical guidance indicates it will persist long enough to undergo extratropical transition on Monday. Minimal strengthening is possible today as the forward speed of the depression increases and it begins to get some positive baroclinic support. In fact, nearly all of the global models indicate that the system will produce tropical-storm-force winds around the time it becomes fully extratropical, and this is reflected in the official forecast.

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