1. Dangerous storm surge inundation is expected to continue today in portions of Long Island, Connecticut, Rhode Island, and southeastern Massachusetts, where a Storm Surge Warning has been issued. Residents in these areas should follow any advice given by local officials.

2. Tropical storm conditions will continue in portions of the tropical storm warning area into tonight.

3. Heavy rainfall may lead to considerable flash, urban, and small stream flooding, along with the potential for widespread minor to isolated moderate river flooding over portions of Long Island, New England, eastern New York, New Jersey and northeast Pennsylvania.

4. Swells from Henri will continue to affect much of the east coast of the U.S. during the next day or so. These swells could cause life-threatening surf and rip currents.

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

All Storm Surge Warnings have been discontinued. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
- East Rockaway Inlet New York to Chatham Massachusetts, including Long Island
- Block Island, Nantucket and Martha's Vineyard

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area.

Interests elsewhere in the northeastern U.S. should monitor the progress of Henri.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office.

Key messages for Henri can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3, WMO header WTNT43 KNHC and on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/graphics_at3.shtml?key_messages.

RAINFALL: Henri is expected to produce rainfall amounts of 3 to 6 inches over portions of Long Island, New England, southeast New York, New Jersey, and northeast Pennsylvania Sunday into Monday, with isolated maximum totals near 12 inches. Heavy rainfall from Henri may result in considerable flash, urban, and small stream flooding, along with the potential for widespread minor to isolated moderate river flooding.

STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...

South shore of Long Island from East Rockaway Inlet, NY to Montauk Point, NY...12 ft North shore of Long Island from Flushing, NY to Montauk Point, NY including Long Island Sound...12 ft Flushing, NY to Merrimack River, MA including Narragansett Bay, Buzzards Bay, Vineyard Sound, Nantucket Sound, and Cape Cod Bay...12 ft

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast in areas of onshore winds, where the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous waves. Surgerelated flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. For information specific to your area, please see products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to continue in the tropical storm warning area into tonight.

TORNADOES: The risk for a tornado or two continues today across parts of southern New England.

SURF: Swells generated by Henri should diminish around Bermuda later today. Swells are expected to increase across much of the east coast of the U.S. and Atlantic Canada today and continue into Monday. These swells could cause lifethreatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.

At 200 PM EDT (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Henri was located by an Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft and NOAA Doppler weather radars near latitude 41.3 North, longitude 71.8 West. Henri is now moving toward the northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h). A northwestward motion with a decrease in forward speed is expected this afternoon. The center of Henri is currently located inland over southwestern Rhode Island. On the forecast track, Henri is expected to slow down further and possibly stall near the ConnecticutNew York border tonight, with an eastnortheastward motion across northern Connecticut and southern Massachusetts on expected on Monday.

Data from Doppler radars and surface observations indicate that maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 50 mph (80 km/h) with higher gusts. Rapid weakening is expected now that Henri has moved inland over southern New England.

Tropicalstormforce winds extend outward up to 125 miles (205 km) from the center.

The latest minimum central pressure estimated from nearby surface observations is 991 mb (29.26 inches).

Henri's presentation in both satellite and radar imagery has degraded significantly since the previous advisory due to the cyclone having moved over much cooler water. An eyewall feature is no longer evident and clouds tops have warmed markedly in the inner-core region around the center. Data from an Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft, NOAA Doppler weather radars, and surface observations indicate that Henri's peak winds have decreased to 50 kt despite the central pressure remaining constant at about 987 mb.

Henri is moving north-northwestward or 335/10 kt. The cyclone is forecast to gradually turn northwestward later this afternoon and possibly even move westward before stalling near the New York-Connecticut border later tonight owing to interaction with a mid- to upper-level low located over he DelMarVa region. The latter system is expected to be absorbed by Henri by early Monday morning before ejecting out slowly eastward to east-northeastward across southern New England by Monday afternoon and evening. Henri is then forecast to cross the southern Gulf of Maine and Nova Scotia as a remnant low on Tuesday. The new NHC track forecast is a little to the west and south of the previous advisory track, and lies close to the tightly packed simple- and corrected-consensus track models.

Little change in strength is expected until Henri makes landfall in the Rhode Island-eastern Connecticut area this afternoon. After landfall, rapid weakening is forecast due to land interaction and entrainment of cooler air coming in off of the Atlantic Ocean. Henri should weaken to a tropical depression by early Monday, and become post-tropical by Monday afternoon or evening.

Due to the degraded radar presentation of Henri, hourly Tropical Cyclone Updates (TCU) will be discontinued after the 1100 AM EDT advisory.