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FLORIDA
STORMS
Tropical Depression Rene
LOCATED
1145 MI NE OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
WINDS
30 MPH
PRESSURE
1011 MB
MOVING
NNW AT 6 MPH
From the National Hurricane Center at 500 PM AST Sun Sep 13 2020
RENE STILL PRODUCING A FEW THUNDERSTORMS HERE AND THERE
TAP LINKS BELOW TO FOCUS
Alerts
hazards
summary
DISCUSSION

There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

None.

None.

At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Rene was located near latitude 27.3 North, longitude 47.6 West. The depression is moving toward the northnorthwest near 6 mph (9 km/h). Rene is forecast to begin moving slowly westward and then southwestward during the next two or three days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is anticipated. Rene is forecast to become a remnant low on Monday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1011 mb (29.86 inches).

At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Rene was located near latitude 27.3 North, longitude 47.6 West. The depression is moving toward the northnorthwest near 6 mph (9 km/h). Rene is forecast to begin moving slowly westward and then southwestward during the next two or three days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is anticipated. Rene is forecast to become a remnant low on Monday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1011 mb (29.86 inches).

Rene continues to produce occasional small bursts of deep convection, most recently to the north of its surface center. Both the TAFB and SAB Dvorak classifications indicated that convection at 18Z was insufficient to classify the system, an indication that the few pop up thunderstorms are not sufficiently organized to classify the system as a tropical cyclone. That said, convection has increased a little since that time and there is a possibility that deep convection could increase further this evening. While Rene is still a tropical depression for the moment, if its convection does not persist, it could become a remnant low as soon as tonight.

Only very small changes were made to the NHC track and intensity forecasts. Rene's forward speed has continued to slow down since this morning. The shallow cyclone should make a westward and then southwestward turn during the next day or two, steered by a building low-level ridge to the north. Regardless of its exact status, Rene will probably continue to produce only a few small disorganized bursts of convection for the next few days while its circulation gradually spins down. Surrounding dry air and large-scale subsidence will likely prevent the redevelopment of more signifcant shower or thunderstorm activity. Most of the dynamical guidance indicates that Rene will open into a trough of low pressure within about 72 h, if not sooner and the NHC forecast shows likewise.

Rene continues to produce occasional small bursts of deep convection, most recently to the north of its surface center. Both the TAFB and SAB Dvorak classifications indicated that convection at 18Z was insufficient to classify the system, an indication that the few pop up thunderstorms are not sufficiently organized to classify the system as a tropical cyclone. That said, convection has increased a little since that time and there is a possibility that deep convection could increase further this evening. While Rene is still a tropical depression for the moment, if its convection does not persist, it could become a remnant low as soon as tonight.

Only very small changes were made to the NHC track and intensity forecasts. Rene's forward speed has continued to slow down since this morning. The shallow cyclone should make a westward and then southwestward turn during the next day or two, steered by a building low-level ridge to the north. Regardless of its exact status, Rene will probably continue to produce only a few small disorganized bursts of convection for the next few days while its circulation gradually spins down. Surrounding dry air and large-scale subsidence will likely prevent the redevelopment of more signifcant shower or thunderstorm activity. Most of the dynamical guidance indicates that Rene will open into a trough of low pressure within about 72 h, if not sooner and the NHC forecast shows likewise.

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