There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

SURF: Large swells generated by Teddy are expected to reach the Lesser Antilles and the northeastern coast of South America on Wednesday and should spread westward to the Greater Antilles, the Bahamas, and Bermuda by Friday. These swells are likely to cause lifethreatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.

At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Teddy was located near latitude 15.0 North, longitude 48.3 West. Teddy is now moving toward the northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue into the weekend.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is forecast, and Teddy is expected to become a hurricane overnight. Teddy could then be near major hurricane strength in a few days.

Tropicalstormforce winds extend outward up to 175 miles (280 km) from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 992 mb (29.30 inches).

At a glance, Teddy looks like a hurricane in conventional infrared satellite imagery. Two hooking convective bands are rotating around the center, and cold convective tops are becoming more symmetric within the circulation. Objective intensity estimates have still struggled to increase for some reason, but a blend of Dvorak estimates from TAFB and SAB support increasing Teddy's intensity to 60 kt. Overall, the environment looks generally conducive for strengthening. The main limiting factors would be moderate southwesterly shear in 2-3 days, paired with a drier environment with mid-level relative humidity dropping from 55-60 percent to about 40 percent in 3 days. The updated NHC intensity forecast has not been changed significantly from the previous prediction mainly to ensure continuity. Nearly all of the intensity models are below this forecast, and downward intensity adjustments could be required in later forecasts if Teddy doesn't show sure signs of significant intensification. Teddy has turned toward the northwest and slowed down a bit with an initial motion of 305/8 kt. A mid-tropospheric high pressure area is expected to be nearly stationary over the central Atlantic for the entire forecast period, which is likely to keep Teddy on a constant northwestward heading with only small fluctuations in forward speed. If I was to look for any outlier among the tightly clustered track guidance, it would be the ECMWF, which is slightly off to the west of the main pack of models. The NHC track forecast is just a little to the west of the TVCA multi-model consensus aid in deference to the ECMWF, and it's fairly close to the latest HCCA solution.