There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

SURF: Large swells generated by Tropical Storm Teddy are expected to reach the Lesser Antilles and the northeastern coast of South America on Wednesday. These swells are likely to cause life threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.

At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Teddy was located near latitude 13.0 North, longitude 44.0 West. Teddy is moving toward the west near 14 mph (22 km/h). A westnorthwestward motion at a slower forward speed is expected tonight through Tuesday night, followed by a northwestward motion Wednesday and Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Steady strengthening is forecast for the next several days, and Teddy is expected to become a hurricane Tuesday and could reach major hurricane strength on Thursday.

Tropicalstormforce winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches).

Teddy is strengthening this afternoon. Recent satellite imagery shows a growing convective band south and west of the center and a CDO feature developing over the estimated low-level center position. The initial intensity is set to 45 kt based on the latest Dvorak estimates of T3.0/45 kt from TAFB and SAB. The environment along Teddy's forecast track features increasing SSTs and low shear for the next several days, and with the improved convective structure of the cyclone, steady strengthening is forecast. The NHC intensity prediction has been increased from the previous advisory, and shows a 25-kt increase in the next 24 hours, which is supported by the SHIPS model and some of the RII indices. Beyond that time, Teddy is forecast to reach major hurricane intensity in about 3 days. The new NHC forecast is near HCCA through the forecast period.

Microwave and geostationary satellite fixes suggest an initial motion of 275/12. The track forecast reasoning is similar to that of the previous advisory. Teddy will initially be steered westward and then west-northwestward by a deep-layer ridge located over the central Atlantic. As the ridge shifts eastward through the forecast period, Teddy is forecast to turn more northwestward as it moves around the western edge of the ridge. There is a fair amount of across track spread in the guidance, with the ECMWF on the right and the GFS and HWRF on the left. Overall the guidance envelope has shifted to the left since this morning. The new NHC track has been adjusted in that direction, and lies near or a little to the right of the latest consensus aids.