There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
None.
None.
At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Victor was located near latitude 16.1 North, longitude 39.9 West. The depression is moving toward the northwest near 16 mph (26 km/h) and this general motion is expected to continue over the next few days. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Some fluctuations in intensity could occur today. However, gradual weakening is forecast to begin by tonight and continue for the next few days, with Victor becoming a remnant low during that time. The system is forecast to dissipate by Tuesday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).
At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Victor was located near latitude 16.1 North, longitude 39.9 West. The depression is moving toward the northwest near 16 mph (26 km/h) and this general motion is expected to continue over the next few days. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Some fluctuations in intensity could occur today. However, gradual weakening is forecast to begin by tonight and continue for the next few days, with Victor becoming a remnant low during that time. The system is forecast to dissipate by Tuesday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).
Victor remains a sheared tropical cyclone with intense deep convection having developed closer to the center in the northeastern quadrant since the previous advisory. Satellite intensity estimates remain at T2.0/30 kt, so the advisory intensity remains at 30 kt. It is possible that Victor could have regained tropical storm status based on the robust convective shear pattern. For now, however, Victor will remain a depression until new ASCAT surface wind data arrive later this morning. Some fluctuations in intensity could occur this morning due to the aforementioned better defined shear pattern. By tonight, however, weakening is anticipated as Victor encounters southwesterly vertical wind shear in excess of 25 kt and moves into a drier air mass, which will act to decrease both the depth and amount of inner-core deep convection. Victor is expected to gradually spin down tonight and Monday, with the circulation opening up into a trough on Tuesday.
Victor continues to move northwestward, or 315/14 kt. A motion toward the northwest is forecast to continue as Victor remains embedded within the southeasterly flow around a deep-layer subtropical ridge. The new NHC track forecast is essentially just an update of the previous advisory track, and lies near the tightly clustered consensus track models.
Victor remains a sheared tropical cyclone with intense deep convection having developed closer to the center in the northeastern quadrant since the previous advisory. Satellite intensity estimates remain at T2.0/30 kt, so the advisory intensity remains at 30 kt. It is possible that Victor could have regained tropical storm status based on the robust convective shear pattern. For now, however, Victor will remain a depression until new ASCAT surface wind data arrive later this morning. Some fluctuations in intensity could occur this morning due to the aforementioned better defined shear pattern. By tonight, however, weakening is anticipated as Victor encounters southwesterly vertical wind shear in excess of 25 kt and moves into a drier air mass, which will act to decrease both the depth and amount of inner-core deep convection. Victor is expected to gradually spin down tonight and Monday, with the circulation opening up into a trough on Tuesday.
Victor continues to move northwestward, or 315/14 kt. A motion toward the northwest is forecast to continue as Victor remains embedded within the southeasterly flow around a deep-layer subtropical ridge. The new NHC track forecast is essentially just an update of the previous advisory track, and lies near the tightly clustered consensus track models.
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