FLORIDA
STORMS
Tropical Depression Victor
LOCATED
1260 MI W OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS
WINDS
35 MPH
PRESSURE
1007 MB
MOVING
NW AT 15 MPH
From the National Hurricane Center at 1100 PM AST Sun Oct 03 2021
Victor no Victor in its battle against dry air and shear.
TAP LINKS BELOW TO FOCUS
Alerts
hazards
summary
DISCUSSION

There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

None.

None.

At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Victor was located near latitude 17.8 North, longitude 43.0 West. The depression is moving toward the northwest near 15 mph (24 km/h). The system is forecast to move northwestward or west northwestward at a slightly faster forward speed through Monday. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening is forecast. Victor is expected to become a remnant low on Monday and will likely dissipate shortly thereafter. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).

At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Victor was located near latitude 17.8 North, longitude 43.0 West. The depression is moving toward the northwest near 15 mph (24 km/h). The system is forecast to move northwestward or west northwestward at a slightly faster forward speed through Monday. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening is forecast. Victor is expected to become a remnant low on Monday and will likely dissipate shortly thereafter. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).

In its battle against dry air and shear, Victor is far from its namesake. The depression continues to produce only minimal deep convection to the north. Furthermore, an ASCAT overpass near 2219 UTC casts doubt on whether Victor still has a closed and well-defined circulation, showing generally light winds south of the suspect center. However, no visible imagery is currently available to confirm the state of Victor's surface center, so advisories will continue for now. ASCAT data showed winds a little above 25 kt to the northeast of Victor's center, so the initial intensity is held at 30 kt for this advisory.

Victor is moving northwestward at a slightly faster speed (305/13 kt). Based on the ASCAT data and recent ProxyVis imagery, the center of Victor was relocated about 40 n mi south of previous estimates, which has resulted in a southern shift in the forecast track. That said, Victor is not expected to persist for much longer. The hostile surrounding environment will likely cause Victor to become a remnant low or dissipate on Monday. Victor, or its remnants, should move generally northwestward or west-northwestward until dissipation occurs within a day or so.

In its battle against dry air and shear, Victor is far from its namesake. The depression continues to produce only minimal deep convection to the north. Furthermore, an ASCAT overpass near 2219 UTC casts doubt on whether Victor still has a closed and well-defined circulation, showing generally light winds south of the suspect center. However, no visible imagery is currently available to confirm the state of Victor's surface center, so advisories will continue for now. ASCAT data showed winds a little above 25 kt to the northeast of Victor's center, so the initial intensity is held at 30 kt for this advisory.

Victor is moving northwestward at a slightly faster speed (305/13 kt). Based on the ASCAT data and recent ProxyVis imagery, the center of Victor was relocated about 40 n mi south of previous estimates, which has resulted in a southern shift in the forecast track. That said, Victor is not expected to persist for much longer. The hostile surrounding environment will likely cause Victor to become a remnant low or dissipate on Monday. Victor, or its remnants, should move generally northwestward or west-northwestward until dissipation occurs within a day or so.

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