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STORMS
Tropical Depression Twenty-One
LOCATED
330 MI WNW OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS
WINDS
35 MPH
PRESSURE
1009 MB
MOVING
N AT 6 MPH
From the National Hurricane Center at 900 AM CVT Mon Sep 14 2020
NEW TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS OVER THE FAR EASTERN TROPICAL ATLANTIC
TAP LINKS BELOW TO FOCUS
Alerts
hazards
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DISCUSSION

There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

None.

None.

At 900 AM CVT (1000 UTC), the center of newly formed Tropical Depression TwentyOne was located near latitude 18.5 North, longitude 28.3 West. The depression is moving toward the north near 6 mph (9 km/h) and this motion is forecast to continue into this afternoon, followed by a turn toward the northwest tonight, with a westnorthwestward motion expected on Tuesday and Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Some slight strengthening could occur today and tonight, and the depression could briefly become a tropical storm during that time. Weakening is expected to begin by Tuesday night, if not sooner, and continue into Wednesday and Thursday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 mb (29.80 inches).

At 900 AM CVT (1000 UTC), the center of newly formed Tropical Depression TwentyOne was located near latitude 18.5 North, longitude 28.3 West. The depression is moving toward the north near 6 mph (9 km/h) and this motion is forecast to continue into this afternoon, followed by a turn toward the northwest tonight, with a westnorthwestward motion expected on Tuesday and Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Some slight strengthening could occur today and tonight, and the depression could briefly become a tropical storm during that time. Weakening is expected to begin by Tuesday night, if not sooner, and continue into Wednesday and Thursday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 mb (29.80 inches).

-light visible satellite imagery indicates that the low pressure system that moved off the coast of Africa a few days ago has continued to become better organized overnight. Scatterometer surface wind data from around 13/2200 UTC indicated that the circulation had become better defined, and that surface winds of 25-28 kt existed in the southwestern quadrant. Since then, deep convection has increased, and it is presumed that the surface winds and circulation definition have increased in response, which justifies the initiation of advisories on TD-21. The initial motion estimate is an uncertain 355/05 kt. The cyclone is forecast to gradually move northward today and northwestward tonight as the depression moves around the eastern end of the eastern Atlantic/west African monsoon trough. By Tuesday night and continuing into Wednesday and Thursday, a west-northwestward to westward motion along the southern periphery of a deep-layer ridge is expected. The NHC track forecast lies down the middle of the surprisingly tightly packed guidance envelope, and is similar to the consensus model TVCA. The depression is expected to be short-lived as a tropical cyclone. Having said that, there is a narrow window of opportunity today and tonight for the cyclone to strengthen into a tropical storm before strong westerly shear in excess of 30 kt is forecast to induce rapid weakening on Tuesday. The cyclone is expected to degenerate into a remnant low by Tuesday night, and then dissipate over water on Friday, if not sooner.

-light visible satellite imagery indicates that the low pressure system that moved off the coast of Africa a few days ago has continued to become better organized overnight. Scatterometer surface wind data from around 13/2200 UTC indicated that the circulation had become better defined, and that surface winds of 25-28 kt existed in the southwestern quadrant. Since then, deep convection has increased, and it is presumed that the surface winds and circulation definition have increased in response, which justifies the initiation of advisories on TD-21. The initial motion estimate is an uncertain 355/05 kt. The cyclone is forecast to gradually move northward today and northwestward tonight as the depression moves around the eastern end of the eastern Atlantic/west African monsoon trough. By Tuesday night and continuing into Wednesday and Thursday, a west-northwestward to westward motion along the southern periphery of a deep-layer ridge is expected. The NHC track forecast lies down the middle of the surprisingly tightly packed guidance envelope, and is similar to the consensus model TVCA. The depression is expected to be short-lived as a tropical cyclone. Having said that, there is a narrow window of opportunity today and tonight for the cyclone to strengthen into a tropical storm before strong westerly shear in excess of 30 kt is forecast to induce rapid weakening on Tuesday. The cyclone is expected to degenerate into a remnant low by Tuesday night, and then dissipate over water on Friday, if not sooner.

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