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FLORIDA
STORMS
Tropical Storm Vicky
LOCATED
500 MI NW OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS
WINDS
50 MPH
PRESSURE
1004 MB
MOVING
NW AT 9 MPH
From the National Hurricane Center at 500 AM AST Tue Sep 15 2020
VICKY FORECAST TO WEAKEN OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS
TAP LINKS BELOW TO FOCUS
Alerts
hazards
summary
DISCUSSION

There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

None.

None.

At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Vicky was located near latitude 20.3 North, longitude 30.1 West. Vicky is moving toward the northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h), and a turn toward the westnorthwest is expected within the next day or so, followed by a turn toward the west.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening is forecast due to strong upperlevel winds during the next 48 hours, and Vicky is likely to degenerate into remnant low by Wednesday.

Tropicalstormforce winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km) from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches).

At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Vicky was located near latitude 20.3 North, longitude 30.1 West. Vicky is moving toward the northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h), and a turn toward the westnorthwest is expected within the next day or so, followed by a turn toward the west.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening is forecast due to strong upperlevel winds during the next 48 hours, and Vicky is likely to degenerate into remnant low by Wednesday.

Tropicalstormforce winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km) from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches).

remains sheared this morning with strong upper-level winds causing any deep convection to be located northeast of the center. The low-level circulation has also become distorted as well, with new bursts of convection causing the mean circulation to re-form to the north. The initial wind speed is kept 45 kt since the system isn't appreciably different than the last cycle. Models all weaken the storm during the next couple of days due to rather potent westerly shear (with 200-mb westerly winds as high as 70 kt forecast across Vicky's circulation). These extremely harsh conditions should make the intensity prediction rather simple, and Vicky is likely to decay into a remnant low within a day or two and open up into a trough in a few days.

The re-formation of the center leads to an uncertain motion estimate of 325/8 kt. The storm should turn west-northwestward later today and westward on Wednesday as it becomes steered by the low-level subtropical ridge. Little change was made to the previous forecast, except for a small northward adjustment in the first day or so of the prediction due to the initial position.

remains sheared this morning with strong upper-level winds causing any deep convection to be located northeast of the center. The low-level circulation has also become distorted as well, with new bursts of convection causing the mean circulation to re-form to the north. The initial wind speed is kept 45 kt since the system isn't appreciably different than the last cycle. Models all weaken the storm during the next couple of days due to rather potent westerly shear (with 200-mb westerly winds as high as 70 kt forecast across Vicky's circulation). These extremely harsh conditions should make the intensity prediction rather simple, and Vicky is likely to decay into a remnant low within a day or two and open up into a trough in a few days.

The re-formation of the center leads to an uncertain motion estimate of 325/8 kt. The storm should turn west-northwestward later today and westward on Wednesday as it becomes steered by the low-level subtropical ridge. Little change was made to the previous forecast, except for a small northward adjustment in the first day or so of the prediction due to the initial position.

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