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FLORIDA
STORMS
Tropical Storm Vicky
LOCATED
640 MI NW OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS
WINDS
45 MPH
PRESSURE
1004 MB
MOVING
WNW AT 12 MPH
From the National Hurricane Center at 500 PM AST Tue Sep 15 2020
VICKY EXPECTED TO WEAKEN
TAP LINKS BELOW TO FOCUS
Alerts
hazards
summary
DISCUSSION

There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

None.

None.

At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Vicky was located near latitude 21.2 North, longitude 32.1 West. Vicky is moving toward the westnorthwest near 12 mph (19 km/h). A westnorthwestward motion at a slightly slower forecast speed is forecast tonight and Wednesday, followed by a westward motion through dissipation.

Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening is forecast, and Vicky is expected to become a tropical depression on Wednesday, weaken to a remnant low Wednesday night, and dissipate by Friday.

Tropicalstormforce winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km) from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches).

At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Vicky was located near latitude 21.2 North, longitude 32.1 West. Vicky is moving toward the westnorthwest near 12 mph (19 km/h). A westnorthwestward motion at a slightly slower forecast speed is forecast tonight and Wednesday, followed by a westward motion through dissipation.

Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening is forecast, and Vicky is expected to become a tropical depression on Wednesday, weaken to a remnant low Wednesday night, and dissipate by Friday.

Tropicalstormforce winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km) from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches).

Vicky continues to be blasted by around 50 kt of westerly shear, with deep convection being continually removed from the center. Overall the coverage and intensity of the deep convection has decreased since this morning, and the initial intensity has been set to 40 kt based on a blend of the latest Dvorak estimates (30-35 kt) and SATCON (45 kt). The high shear is expected to persist, and that in combination with marginal SSTs should result in weakening, and Vicky is expected to become a remnant low in around 36 hours, with dissipation expected in about 3 days. The new NHC intensity forecast is close to HCCA and the IVCN consensus aids.

The initial motion estimate is a bit faster toward the west-northwest or 300/10. Vicky should continue west-northwestward for the next 12 to 24 hours and then turn westward in the low-level flow before dissipation. The new NHC track forecast is similar to the previous one, near the middle of the guidance envelope, and has been adjusted a bit slower toward the latest consensus aid

Vicky continues to be blasted by around 50 kt of westerly shear, with deep convection being continually removed from the center. Overall the coverage and intensity of the deep convection has decreased since this morning, and the initial intensity has been set to 40 kt based on a blend of the latest Dvorak estimates (30-35 kt) and SATCON (45 kt). The high shear is expected to persist, and that in combination with marginal SSTs should result in weakening, and Vicky is expected to become a remnant low in around 36 hours, with dissipation expected in about 3 days. The new NHC intensity forecast is close to HCCA and the IVCN consensus aids.

The initial motion estimate is a bit faster toward the west-northwest or 300/10. Vicky should continue west-northwestward for the next 12 to 24 hours and then turn westward in the low-level flow before dissipation. The new NHC track forecast is similar to the previous one, near the middle of the guidance envelope, and has been adjusted a bit slower toward the latest consensus aid

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