FLORIDA
STORMS
Tropical Storm Wanda
LOCATED
565 MI W OF THE AZORES
WINDS
50 MPH
PRESSURE
994 MB
MOVING
S AT 9 MPH
From the National Hurricane Center at 900 PM GMT Fri Nov 05 2021
Wanda moves southward.
TAP LINKS BELOW TO FOCUS
Alerts
hazards
summary
DISCUSSION

There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

None.

None.

At 900 PM GMT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Wanda was located near latitude 39.1 North, longitude 37.4 West. Wanda is moving toward the south near 9 mph (15 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue through Saturday before turning and accelerating to the northeast Saturday night into Sunday. Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours. Some minor intensification is possible through Sunday. Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 125 miles (205 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 994 mb (29.36 inches).

At 900 PM GMT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Wanda was located near latitude 39.1 North, longitude 37.4 West. Wanda is moving toward the south near 9 mph (15 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue through Saturday before turning and accelerating to the northeast Saturday night into Sunday. Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours. Some minor intensification is possible through Sunday. Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 125 miles (205 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 994 mb (29.36 inches).

Wanda's convective cloud pattern appears a little more organized within its eastern semicircle this evening per GOES-East visible and infrared imagery. However, cloud tops have not cooled. Intensity estimates from SAB and TAFB remain unchanged and with the lack of any new ASCAT data, the maximum sustained winds remain unchanged from the previous advisory.

Wanda is moving southward between a shortwave ridge to its northwest and a deep layer low to its south. The initial motion is considered 180/8 kt; the shorter term motion is quicker, closer to 15 kt, but unlikely to maintain itself as it leaves a zone of confluent flow. The southward motion is expected to continue into Saturday. Starting late Saturday, a developing mid-latitude cyclone south of Atlantic Canada will break down the ridge and the deep layer low will migrate farther away. The cyclone near Canada is expected to grow in size and intensity which will act to accelerate Wanda and eventually absorb the storm. The latest track guidance shows a sharper turn and has trended west during its period of acceleration, which has led to a modest adjustment to the previous forecast.

The southward motion should bring the center over slightly warmer water during the next 24 hours, and during this time Wanda should be in an area of light to moderate shear caused by the nearby deep layer low. This environment should allow Wanda to maintain its strength and perhaps strengthen a little. By 48 hours, the approaching mid-latitude system will bring some upper level diffluence which could offset the affects of increasing vertical wind shear. Wanda is forecast to merge with a frontal zone by 72 hours, and by 96 hours system is forecast to be absorbed by the mid-latitude low over the northeastern Atlantic. The new intensity forecast remains similar to the previous forecast.

Wanda's convective cloud pattern appears a little more organized within its eastern semicircle this evening per GOES-East visible and infrared imagery. However, cloud tops have not cooled. Intensity estimates from SAB and TAFB remain unchanged and with the lack of any new ASCAT data, the maximum sustained winds remain unchanged from the previous advisory.

Wanda is moving southward between a shortwave ridge to its northwest and a deep layer low to its south. The initial motion is considered 180/8 kt; the shorter term motion is quicker, closer to 15 kt, but unlikely to maintain itself as it leaves a zone of confluent flow. The southward motion is expected to continue into Saturday. Starting late Saturday, a developing mid-latitude cyclone south of Atlantic Canada will break down the ridge and the deep layer low will migrate farther away. The cyclone near Canada is expected to grow in size and intensity which will act to accelerate Wanda and eventually absorb the storm. The latest track guidance shows a sharper turn and has trended west during its period of acceleration, which has led to a modest adjustment to the previous forecast.

The southward motion should bring the center over slightly warmer water during the next 24 hours, and during this time Wanda should be in an area of light to moderate shear caused by the nearby deep layer low. This environment should allow Wanda to maintain its strength and perhaps strengthen a little. By 48 hours, the approaching mid-latitude system will bring some upper level diffluence which could offset the affects of increasing vertical wind shear. Wanda is forecast to merge with a frontal zone by 72 hours, and by 96 hours system is forecast to be absorbed by the mid-latitude low over the northeastern Atlantic. The new intensity forecast remains similar to the previous forecast.

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