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FLORIDA
STORMS
Tropical Storm Wilfred
LOCATED
1105 MI W OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS
WINDS
40 MPH
PRESSURE
1007 MB
MOVING
WNW AT 16 MPH
From the National Hurricane Center at 1100 PM AST Sat Sep 19 2020
WILFRED CONTINUES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD WITH NO CHANGE IN STRENGTH
TAP LINKS BELOW TO FOCUS
Alerts
hazards
summary
DISCUSSION

There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

None

None

At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Wilfred was located near latitude 14.5 North, longitude 40.5 West. Wilfred is moving toward the westnorthwest near 16 mph (26 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue through Sunday, followed by a slower westward motion late Sunday and Monday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is expected through Sunday. Gradual Weakening is expected Sunday night and Monday, and Wilfred is expected to dissipate by Tuesday.

Tropicalstormforce winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).

At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Wilfred was located near latitude 14.5 North, longitude 40.5 West. Wilfred is moving toward the westnorthwest near 16 mph (26 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue through Sunday, followed by a slower westward motion late Sunday and Monday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is expected through Sunday. Gradual Weakening is expected Sunday night and Monday, and Wilfred is expected to dissipate by Tuesday.

Tropicalstormforce winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).

Microwave data since the previous advisory indicates that the center of Wilfred is located near the southwestern edge of the deep convection. The displacement of the center from the convection is the result of moderate westerly vertical wind shear. The initial intensity remains 35 kt, and is based on an ASCAT-B overpass from around 0000 UTC that revealed peak winds of 30-35 kt. Wilfred is headed toward an area of increasing westerly wind shear, and a drier mid-level environment. These negative factors should lead to weakening in 24 to 48 h, and the global models dissipate the cyclone within the next few days. The official forecast follows suit, but given the small size of the cyclone it could weaken and dissipate sooner than indicated below. The initial motion estimate is 295/14, a little faster than before. Wilfred is forecast to remain on a west-northwestward heading through Sunday, but should turn westward within the low-level flow by Sunday night or Monday. The latest NHC track forecast is once again similar to the previous advisory and near the middle of the guidance envelope.

Microwave data since the previous advisory indicates that the center of Wilfred is located near the southwestern edge of the deep convection. The displacement of the center from the convection is the result of moderate westerly vertical wind shear. The initial intensity remains 35 kt, and is based on an ASCAT-B overpass from around 0000 UTC that revealed peak winds of 30-35 kt. Wilfred is headed toward an area of increasing westerly wind shear, and a drier mid-level environment. These negative factors should lead to weakening in 24 to 48 h, and the global models dissipate the cyclone within the next few days. The official forecast follows suit, but given the small size of the cyclone it could weaken and dissipate sooner than indicated below. The initial motion estimate is 295/14, a little faster than before. Wilfred is forecast to remain on a west-northwestward heading through Sunday, but should turn westward within the low-level flow by Sunday night or Monday. The latest NHC track forecast is once again similar to the previous advisory and near the middle of the guidance envelope.

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