1. Tropical-storm-force winds are expected in the warning areaalong portions of the northeast Florida Coast through early thisafternoon.

2. Localized bands of heavy rainfall will continue to impactportions of the Florida Peninsula today, resulting in isolated flashand urban flooding, especially across previously inundated areas.Minor river flooding is expected across portions of West Floridalasting into the weekend.

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
- Flagler/Volusia County Florida line northward to St. Andrews Sound Georgia. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office.

Key messages for Eta can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT4, WMO header WTNT44 KNHC, and on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT4.shtml. RAINFALL: Eta will produce an additional 1 to 3 inches of rain across portions of the Florida Peninsula through today, with isolated maximum storm total accumulations of 20 to 25 inches in South Florida.

Localized flash and urban flooding will be possible across the Florida Peninsula today, especially across previously inundated areas. Minor river flooding is expected across portions of West Florida lasting into the weekend. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected in the Tropical Storm Warning area along the east coast of Florida through early this afternoon. SURF: Swells generated by Eta are expected to affect the Florida Gulf Coast today, and begin to affect portions of the coast of the southeastern United States later today. These swells are likely to cause lifethreatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.

At 1000 AM EST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Eta was located near latitude 30.2 North, longitude 81.8 West. Eta is moving toward the northnortheast near 15 mph (24 km/h). A faster northeastward motion is expected over the next couple of days. On the forecast track, the center of Eta will emerge into the western Atlantic by early this afternoon. The cyclone is expected to accelerate over the western Atlantic and move parallel to, but offshore of the Carolinas tonight and early Friday before heading well east of the MidAtlantic coast by late Friday. Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast through early Friday. Eta could reintensify as a nontropical cyclone late Friday or Friday night before becoming absorbed by a larger nontropical cyclone on Saturday. Tropicalstormforce winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km) primarily over water to the east of the center. A NOAA Coastal Marine Observing site at St. Augustine Florida reported sustained winds of 39 mph (63 km/h) and a gust of 44 mph (70 km/h). A wind gust to 43 mph (69 km/h) was recently reported at the Mayport Naval Air Station near Jacksonville, Florida. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).

The center of Eta made landfall near Cedar Key, Florida withan estimated intensity of 45 kt shortly after the release of theprevious NHC advisory package. Since that time, the center of Etahas moved across the northern portion of the Florida peninsula.Some weakening has occurred, but ship and buoy observations alongand just off the northeast Florida coast support an initialintensity of 40 kt. Little change in strength is expected when Etamoves over the western Atlantic tonight and early Friday due tomoderate to strong southwesterly shear. The ECMWF and UKMET modelsindicate that Eta could strengthen after it merges with a frontalzone and becomes extratropical well offshore of the east coastof the United States late Friday and Friday night. The NHCforecast calls for some slight intensification of the extratropicalcyclone before it is absorbed by a large low pressure area over thewestern Atlantic on Saturday.

Eta is moving northeastward at about 13 kt. Eta should continue toaccelerate northeastward over the next day or so within themid-latitude westerlies, ahead of a trough that will moveacross the Great Lakes region on Friday. The new official forecast is again a little faster than the previous NHC track, but the latest guidance did not require much cross-track change. Deep-layer moisture from that has spread northward along a frontal boundary across the Carolinas is producing heavy rainfall and flash flooding that is not directly associated with Eta. See products from the NOAA Weather Prediction Center and your local National Weather Service office for additional information.