September 30, 2015
Joaquin to Threaten Bahamas as a Hurricane

It's a menacing storm on satellite, and one many residents of The Bahamas are now scurrying to prepare for.  Floridians, however, can rest easy. Tropical Storm Joaquin strengthened overnight, now packing winds up to 70 mph as it drifts west-southwest toward The Bahamas, but the storm is likely to turn north by Friday and spare the […]

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September 27, 2015
Tropical Depression Eleven Forms Northeast of Bahamas

A new tropical depression has developed in the western Atlantic, about half way between Bermuda and The Bahamas. The National Hurricane Center began issuing advisories on TD Eleven Sunday evening, stating it had winds of 35 mph and was moving northwest at 2 mph.   The forecast for TD Eleven is similar to many of […]

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September 27, 2015
Invest 99: Most Likely "Rain Without a Name"

Many meteorologists have dubbed the phrase "rain without a name" over the years, accounting for heavy rain that can occur from a tropical weather system even if it isn't officially named. For some Floridians, this has happened twice already this summer. And that's just what may happen with Invest 99, the disturbance the National Hurricane Center is […]

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September 25, 2015
Watching Gulf: Too Early for Specifics

A disorganized area of thunderstorms near the Yucatan peninsula is being closely monitored for possible tropical development in the coming days. If tropical development were to occur, forecast data suggests the system could potentially start to influence the weather pattern across The Sunshine State, largely in the form of an increase in rain chances, on […]

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September 24, 2015
Video: Development Possible in Gulf Next Week

The last six tropical storms to develop in the Atlantic Basin haven't made it through the so-called El Niño barrier in the Caribbean. This is where upper level winds have been too strong to support upscale development or even passage of a storm. Two have tried (Danny, Erika), but the others haven't even come close (Fred, Grace, Henri, Ida). […]

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September 23, 2015
State of the 2015 Hurricane Season

The 2015 Hurricane Season is nearly two-thirds over, and judging by the number of storms alone, it's on track to be a normal year.  Nine named storms have formed, and the 30-year average for an entire season is twelve.  However, a different measuring tool - accumulated cyclone energy (or ACE) - reveals that the year has been only 25% as active […]

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September 23, 2015
Influences from El Niño Likely in Florida by Late Fall

Some Floridians don’t want any more rain, while others just a few miles away are almost desperate for it. For example, Tampa has a rainfall surplus (compared to normal) of nearly 20 inches for the year so far, whereas just a short drive down I-75 to Naples takes you into an area with a deficit […]

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September 22, 2015
Ida Wandering, Watching Gulf Next Week

Tropical Storm Ida is lost at sea. Literally. Upper-level winds are too weak to steer it in any direction, so it’s likely to meander in the central Atlantic for days. Keeping with the trends of the past six tropical systems that have originated in this region, Ida will not be a threat to the United […]

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