Current ocean and atmospheric conditions like record-warm Atlantic sea surface temperatures have the potential to counteract El Niño conditions. The original forecast issued in May predicted a 30% chance of above-normal conditions. Now, it stands at 60% as hurricane season moves through. The outlook for 2023 calls for 14-21 storms with winds of 39 mph […]
It was not a coincidence the Director of the National Hurricane Center, Michael Brennan, jumped on YouTube Tuesday to make sure everyone is paying very close attention to the tropics. The month of August begins a rapid climb to the climatological peak of hurricane season on September 10th. Historically, 90% of all hurricanes and 95% […]
A tropical wave has formed in the southwestern Atlantic this afternoon and is now tracking right toward the southeast U.S. It's a weak area of low pressure that just popped up on the weather maps earlier today a few hundred miles south of Bermuda. Some models do track this disturbance toward the east coast of […]
The tropics will need to be monitored even closer than normal for late July. Tropical Storm Don is still swirling around the north-central Atlantic and poses no threat to the U.S. But we now have an area of low pressure in the central tropical Atlantic that has a good chance to develop into Tropical Depression […]
Subtropical Storm Don formed over the Atlantic Ocean early on Friday morning. This fifth storm of 2023, and fourth named storm of the season, will likely remain over the open waters of the Atlantic, posing no threat to land. Officials at the National Hurricane Center in Miami announced early on Friday morning that an area […]
One month into the Atlantic hurricane season, researchers at Colorado State University have again amended their seasonal forecast for tropical cyclone activity. They now call for an above average season. In April, the Tropical Weather and Climate Research group at the Colorado State University (CSU) released their first forecast for the 2023 hurricane season, which […]
As Independence Day celebrations begin this weekend, Floridians should be aware of several weather hazards that could impact their festivities: Excessive heat and strong currents along the shore. Both conditions can pose life-threatening risks, and residents are urged to be careful if spending time outside or at the beach this weekend. This afternoon Miami recorded […]
Tropical Storm Bret strengthened overnight with sustained winds of 70 MPH. A storm is designated a category 1 hurricane when winds reach 74 MPH, but not further intensification of Bret is expected. There has been little to no change in Bret’s forecasted fate as the system is expected to cross the Lesser Antilles today, then […]
