There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
Interests in Nicaragua and Honduras should monitor the progress of the depression. Hurricane or tropical storm watches will likely be required for portions of these countries later tonight or early Sunday.
RAINFALL: Through Thursday afternoon, the depression is expected to cause 5 to 10 inches of rain, with local 15inch amounts, across Jamaica, the Cayman Islands, and possibly the southern coast of Hispaniola. Across portions of Central America, 10 to 15 inches of rain, with local amounts to 25 inches are expected. This rainfall should lead to flash flooding and river flooding, and could cause landslides in areas of higher terrain.
At 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression TwentyNine was located near latitude 15.0 North, longitude 73.2 West. The depression is moving toward the west near 15 mph (24 km/h), and this westward motion is expected to continue through Sunday night. A slower motion toward the westsouthwest and then southwest is forecast on Monday and Tuesday. On the forecast track, the center of the cyclone is expected to be near the northeastern coast of Nicaragua by Monday night.
Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Strengthening is forecast, and the depression is expected to become a tropical storm tonight. The system is then expected to become a hurricane by Monday.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).
Issued: 200 PM EDT Sat Oct 31 2020
1. A vigorous tropical wave located over the central Caribbean Sea continues to produce organized cloudiness and thunderstorms, and a tropical depression appears to be forming. If this recent development trend continues, then advisories will likely be initiated on this disturbance this afternoon or evening while the system moves generally westward at about 15 mph toward the western Caribbean Sea. Interests in Jamaica, Honduras, and Nicaragua should monitor the progress of this system. Regardless of development, this disturbance is expected to produce heavy rainfall across portions of Jamaica and southern Hispaniola through the weekend.
Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent.
Formation chance through 5 days...high...near 100 percent.
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