Tropical Storm Isaias is expected to move along the Florida Atlantic coast today from Palm Beach county northward toward the Space Coast today and tonight with tropical storm force winds, locally heavy rain, and rough seas.

Tropical Storm Isaias is expected to move along the Florida Atlantic coast today from Palm Beach county northward toward the Space Coast today and tonight with tropical storm force winds, locally heavy rain, and rough seas.

The Tropical Storm is expected to be at its closest approach to the First Coast late Sunday night and Monday morning before departing for the Carolinas. Conditions are expected to gradually improve late Monday afternoon and evening.

NO CURRENT STORMS IN ATLANTIC BASIN

Isaias weakened slightly more overnight; top sustained winds are near 65 mph as of the early Sunday morning advisory from the National Hurricane Center. Hurricane Warnings have been changed to Tropical Storm Warnings from Hallandale Beach northward along the Florida east coast. Inland Tropical Storm Warnings are also in effect from Palm Beach county north to the Orlando and Jacksonville metropolitan areas. Occasional tropical storm force winds are likely in the warning areas as bands develop and move inland Sunday into Sunday night.

Storm Surge Watches continue from St. Augustine southward, where 2 to 4 feet of water are possible in areas of typically dry land somewhere within the watch area. The times of high tide are around sunrise and sunset, which is when the inundation is most likely to occur.

Rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches are forecast generally along the I-95 corridor and eastward to the immediate coast, with isolated amounts of up to 6 inches possible based on the latest National Hurricane Center forecast. 1 to 2 inches are forecast west of I-95 in places.

Areas farther west outside of the tropical storm warning area may also see occasional rain bands later today and into Monday morning; however, wind gusts are forecast to stay between 15 and 30 mph.

Isaias became a hurricane overnight, and is poised to make a close pass to Florida's Atlantic Coast this weekend.

As of the mid-morning Friday advisory from the National Hurricane Center, Hurricane Isaias had top sustained winds of 80 mph. It is moving toward the northwest at about 17 mph. The hurricane is moving through the southeastern Bahamas and will continue to move through the island chain Friday into Friday night.

NO CURRENT STORMS IN ATLANTIC BASIN

Tropical Storm Watches were posted from Ocean Reef to Sebastien Inlet, Florida in anticipation of the possibility of tropical storm force conditions on Saturday. The latest forecast track takes the center of Isaias near or just offshore of the Florida east coast this weekend. Southwesterly wind shear was causing the strongest winds and heaviest rain to be displaced to the east of the center of the hurricane based on satellite imagery and reconnaissance aircraft reports.

As a result of the lopsided nature of the hurricane and the usual uncertainty in the forecast track, it is not clear whether hurricane conditions will make it to the Florida east coast. However, tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area as of the Friday morning forecast in anticipation of at least tropical storm force winds this weekend.

Isaias is forecast to turn northward Sunday and Monday near or just offshore of the coasts of Northeast Florida, Georgia, and South Carolina. In its early morning forecast discussion, the Hurricane Center said that there is a risk of surge, heavy rainfall, and strong winds in these areas through early next week, but that it was too soon to determine the magnitude of the impacts because of the uncertainty in the storm's path. Interests along the entire east coast are encouraged to monitor the progress of forecasts in the coming days, they said.

Expires at 6:00pm on Friday July 31st, 2020

Tropical Storm Isaias became the season’s ninth named tropical storm late Wednesday evening. It may pose a threat to the United States coastline this weekend or early next week, but questions remain about its eventual track and strength.

As of mid-morning Thursday, Isaias had top sustained winds of 60 mph as it moved northwestward near 20 mph about 125 miles west of Ponce, Puerto Rico. The National Hurricane Center said the storm was causing life-threatening flash floods and high winds over the island Thursday morning.

NO CURRENT STORMS IN ATLANTIC BASIN

The forecast track takes the tropical storm over the island of Hispaniola today, where there is mountainous terrain that is likely to temporarily disrupt the recent strengthening trend for a brief time. Forecasters say heavy rain is likely to cause flash flooding and mudslides along with the tropical storm force winds over the island today into tonight as it approaches.

Isaias is forecast to reach the southeastern Bahamas late tonight into Friday. Reliable forecast models show two broadly different scenarios this weekend. If the storm remains strong and largely survives the path over Hispaniola, the storm is likely to strengthen and become a strong tropical storm, staying near or just offshore the Florida east coast this weekend. This would result in an increase in seas and rip currents, but the worst of the storm would stay offshore. This path would also increase the threat of more significant impact on Monday in the Carolinas. The Hurricane Center said in their early Thursday morning discussion that there are models that forecast Isaias to reach hurricane intensity, but that there is large uncertainty in the future strength of the storm.

If the storm is generally weaker, steering currents would likely direct Isaias toward the Florida Peninsula with heavy rain, gusty winds, and choppy seas beginning Saturday over South Florida and then spreading northward through the Peninsula on Sunday. A weaker storm would also have potentially fewer impacts in the Carolinas, but some increase in seas and rip currents would remain a distinct possibility with a weaker system.

Forecasters encourage everyone to keep up with the latest forecasts as changes to the forecast track and intensity are likely after the storm passes Hispaniola. Emergency management officials encourage everyone to review their plans and prepare regardless of the storm’s eventual path and strength.

Expires at 11:00pm on Thursday July 30th, 2020

Tropical Storm Hanna — the earliest recorded “H” storm — developed late Thursday evening in the western Gulf of Mexico.

Tropical Storm Warnings are in effect ahead of Hanna’s expected arrival on the Texas Gulf coast Saturday.

NO CURRENT STORMS IN ATLANTIC BASIN

As of Friday morning, The National Hurricane Center says Hanna’s landfall is most likely on Saturday not far from Corpus Christi, Texas. Forecasters say 4 to 8 inches of rain, with localized amounts up to 12 inches, may cause life-threatening flash floods in parts of South Texas this weekend. High surf conditions and rip currents were expected along the Texas Gulf coast from the storm.

Meanwhile, Tropical Storm Gonzalo continues to churn westward toward the Windward Islands and the eastern Caribbean with little change in its strength.

NO CURRENT STORMS IN ATLANTIC BASIN

Tropical Storm Gonzalo was located some 485 miles east of the Windward Islands late Friday morning. Hurricane Watches were posted for Barbados, St. Vincent, and the Grenadines since there is still a chance Gonzalo will achieve hurricane intensity before reaching those islands. Even if Gonzalo does not become a hurricane, tropical storm conditions are still likely Saturday over the southern Windward Islands, the National Hurricane Center said.

Another strong tropical wave is moving off the African coast. Many reliable computer models project this wave to develop into the next named storm some time later next week as it moves westward through the open tropical Atlantic Ocean.

NEW DEVELOPMENT POSSIBLE
NHC: Medium chance of tropical development in next five days.

Tropical Storm Watches are in effect for the Texas Gulf coast ahead of the likely arrival and strengthening of the season's eighth tropical depression.

As of 11 am Thursday, the National Hurricane Center said Tropical Depression Eight was located 380 miles east-southeast of Port O'Conner Texas and had top sustained winds of 35 mph. It is moving toward the west-northwest at around 9 mph and is likely to become Tropical Storm Hanna on Friday.

NO CURRENT STORMS IN ATLANTIC BASIN

Tropical storm conditions are possible this weekend along the Texas Gulf coast, where Tropical Storm Watches are in effect from Port Mansfield to High Island. However, heavy rainfall may be the larger concern. Forecasters said 3 to 5 inches of rain, with amounts up to 8 inches, are expected from the Louisiana and Texas Gulf coasts into South Texas this weekend and early next week. These rains are likely to cause areas of flash flooding.

Farther east, Tropical Storm Gonzalo strengthened early Thursday morning, some 885 miles east of the Windward Islands. As of 11 am, top sustained winds increased to 65 mph and the National Hurricane Center forecasts Gonzalo to reach hurricane intensity later Thursday. Hurricane Watches are posted for Barbados in anticipation of its possible arrival this weekend.

NO CURRENT STORMS IN ATLANTIC BASIN

Computer models disagree on the future intensity of Gonzalo. The U.S. models forecast Gonzalo to remain strong and move in the general direction of Hispaniola next week, while the Canadian and typically high-performing European global models both show Gonzalo weakening rapidly as it enters the Caribbean. In either case, squally conditions are likely to move over portions of the Lesser Antilles over the weekend. No effects are forecast over the next week along the mainland U.S. coastline.

The tropical wave that has been drenching parts of South Florida, the Keys, and the western half of the Florida peninsula may be the next system to organize into a tropical depression this week.

As of the National Hurricane Center's early afternoon update, the disturbance has an 80 percent chance of achieving depression classification Thursday or Friday. If the system is able to reach tropical storm status, its name would be Hanna. Regardless of its development, higher-than-usual shower activity is forecast over Florida for another day. The western Panhandle may also see an increase in downpours on Thursday before the system moves farther away from the state.

NEW DEVELOPMENT POSSIBLE
NHC: Medium chance of tropical development in next five days.

The flow around a large ridge of high pressure over South Carolina is steering the system westward. Most reliable computer models show the developing system reaching the Texas Gulf coast later Friday or early Saturday. Widespread rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches, with locally higher amounts, may cause areas of flooding from southern Louisiana to the Texas Gulf coast over the weekend.

Strong winds and substantial surge appear unlikely, assuming the tropical system stays weak based on the latest forecasts.

Tuesday 10 am EDT Update: Tropical Storm Bertha made landfall Wednesday morning at 9:30AM EDT about 20 miles east of Charleston, SC. Maximum sustained winds were at 50 mph, according to a special statement from the National Hurricane Center.

Bertha will continue to move north-northwest through the Lowcountry and Pee Dee regions Wednesday afternoon before turning more northward and moving through the Midlands through the overnight Wednesday and into Thursday.

Tropical Storm Bertha is expected to produce heavy rainfall across portions of eastern and central South Carolina along with Tropical Storm force winds to the coastline.

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Tropical Storm Bertha formed Wednesday morning about 30 miles east-southeast of Charleston, SC. Maximum sustained winds were 45 mph at the time, and the storm is expected to make landfall in the South Carolina Lowcountry by midday.

The second named storm of the season began organizing off the east coast of Florida Monday, and it began strengthening as it moved over the warmer waters of the western Atlantic Ocean. As of 8:30 am EDT, the center was 30 miles east-southeast of Charleston and is moving northwest at about 9 mph.

The National Hurricane Center issued a Tropical Storm Warning from Edisto Beach to South Santee River in anticipation of Bertha's landfall late this morning or early this afternoon. Tropical storm force winds in squalls are likely near the coast in the warning area.

Heavy rain and flash flooding is expected over portions of the Lowcountry, primarily from Charleston north and east, and over the Pee Dee, and Grand Strand. Rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches are forecast over eastern and central South Carolina, with local amounts up to 8 inches according to the National Hurricane Center.

Rain is expected to continue after the storm moves inland and continue into tonight before diminishing early Thursday morning.

Expires at 12:00am on Thursday May 28th, 2020

Not everyone needs to evacuate from a hurricane, but if you do, knowing your zone will make it much easier to know when to go.

As a hurricane approaches, emergency managers will tell residents when to leave based on the zone they live in. Even if you can’t see the water, it may still be necessary to evacuate depending on your proximity to nearby waterways and points of access. Conversely, if you don’t need to evacuate, you may be asked to ride out the storm at home to prevent unnecessary traffic on evacuation routes.

There are several different ways to find out your evacuation zone. The Florida Division of Emergency Management outlines the counties that have evacuation zones in this interactive desktop map.

The Florida Storms app is a free service of the Florida Public Radio Emergency Network. The “Evacuate” button near the bottom of the home screen will find your location and show you if which zone you’re in. When a storm is approaching, public radio stations throughout the state will provide the latest storm and evacuation information which can be live streamed from the app.

There are also counties in the state that are not vulnerable to surge flooding, but may experience freshwater flooding from heavy rain, high winds, and tornadoes. These counties may not be in a particular surge zone, but at the discretion of emergency managers, evacuation orders may be issued depending on the greatest threats a storm poses. Local media and county emergency managers will provide this information in the event of an emergency.

Once you’ve determined your evacuation zone, it’s a good idea to map out an evacuation route. Knowing the designated routes allow you to map out the best location to safety, depending on the storm’s track. It’s important to move perpendicular to the storm’s track. For example, if the storm is moving east to west, your best option is to travel north.

During an emergency, the Florida Division of Emergency Management says your local emergency management offices should always be consulted for evacuation orders related to your hometown or county.

GO TO NEXT STEPS

The latest in a series of strong weather systems is set to sweep across the Central and Southern United States during the middle of this week. It is likely to bring at least one line of thunderstorms into much of the state starting Wednesday afternoon in the Panhandle and lasting into Thursday morning over portions of central and south Florida.

Strong winds through a large portion of the atmosphere favor gusty winds as the chief concern with the strongest storms embedded in the line. As of late Tuesday afternoon, the Storm Prediction Center outlined a small risk for tornadoes over the Florida Panhandle Wednesday afternoon and evening.

Here are the most likely times of arrival for selection locations across the state:

Noon to 4 PM Wednesday: Western Panhandle, including Pensacola, Destin, Fort Walton, Crestview
5 to 9 PM Wednesday: Eastern Panhandle, including Panama City, Marianna, Tallahassee
10 PM Wednesday to 3 AM Thursday: North Florida, including Lake City, Jacksonville, Gainesville
10 PM Wednesday to 3 AM Thursday: Central Florida, including Daytona Beach, Orlando, Tampa, Melbourne
2 AM to 10 AM Thursday: South Florida, including Fort Myers, Vero Beach, West Palm Beach, Miami

Some computer models indicate a second line of thunderstorms may move through the Panhandle overnight Wednesday, reaching North Florida during the early daylight hours of Thursday, and finally reaching central and south Florida Thursday afternoon. These storms also have the potential of producing strong wind gusts as they move through the state.

Conditions are expected to improve statewide Thursday night into Friday, followed by a hotter and drier pattern starting Sunday and lasting into early next week.

Expires at 6:00pm on Wednesday April 29th, 2020

A line of intense thunderstorms is expected to bring the potential for damaging winds and a few tornadoes to the Florida Panhandle and Big Bend late Sunday night into Monday morning.

Tornadoes were observed in northern Louisiana late Sunday morning, multiple tornado warnings were in effect across Mississippi as of early Sunday afternoon. Reliable forecast models show these storms will spread into Alabama early this evening, then into the western Florida Panhandle around midnight. Damaging winds and embedded tornadoes are anticipated within a line of thunderstorms as it approaches.

The Pensacola area is most likely to see the storms between 10 PM and 2 AM. The time of arrival for the Destin, Fort Walton, and Crestview areas is between 1 and 4 AM.

A second surge of wind energy in the lower part of the atmosphere is forecast to surge into the Panama City, Marianna, and Tallahassee areas overnight. This is likely to lead to the intensification of storms as they approach these areas. Present estimates show the storms arriving near Panama City and Marianna between 3 and 6 AM. The Tallahassee and Apalachicola areas should expect the storms to arrive between 5 and 9 AM. The Storm Prediction Center is forecasting the potential of a few tornadoes and damaging winds near these areas as the storms move through.

Forecasters and Emergency Operation officials recommend residents have multiple ways of receiving warnings, including via cell phone, radio, and television. Residents should be prepared to seek shelter in the lowest level of their home, in an interior room, and away from windows. Those who rely on public storm shelters as a refuge should check to see if they are available because of the COVID-19 pandemic.

Expires at 5:00am on Monday April 13th, 2020

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