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At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Kyle was located near latitude 38.7 North, longitude 68.0 West. Kyle is moving toward the eastnortheast near 21 mph (33 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue for the next couple of days. A turn to the east along with an increase in forward speed is expected early next week.

Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Some additional strengthening is possible during the next day or so. Kyle is forecast to become posttropical on Sunday.

Tropicalstormforce winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km) from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches).

The low-level center of Kyle continues to be exposed to the west of the deep convection, as strong westerly shear prevails. Although the satellite appearance is not that impressive, the circulation is well intact as indicated by a recent ASCAT overpass that reveals that the initial intensity remains 40 kt.

Kyle is currently moving east-northeast at 18 kt, and away from the U.S. coast. This general motion is expected to continue for the next couple of days, with a turn to the east and an increase in forward speed thereafter as the system remains embedded in the mid-latitude westerlies. The official forecast track is little changed from the previous one, and is near the tightly clustered track guidance.

Only slight strengthening is expected over the next 24 h as the cyclone crosses the warm Gulf Stream waters and interacts with an upper-level trough, while battling increasing westerly shear. The forecast track takes Kyle over much cooler waters starting in about 24 h, and by that time, the system is expected to begin interacting with a frontal boundary to its north. This should initiate an extratropical transition that is expected to be complete by 36 h. It should be noted that both the FSU GFS-based phase space forecast and SHIPS guidance suggest that this transition could be completed sooner than indicated. After transition, the extratropical system should slowly decay until it is absorbed by a larger extratropical low in a little more than 3 days.

The exposed center of Kyle has become elongated this morning. Deep convection remains limited to the eastern semicircle of the cyclone, a consequence of strong upper-level westerly winds. Despite the shear, there are indications that Kyle's winds have increased. A ship (KABP) recently reported 50 kt winds just to the south of Kyle's center. Although the observation was elevated, it still supports increasing the intensity to 45 kt.

Kyle will continue to move quickly east-northeastward away from the coast of the U.S. and well south of the Canadian Maritimes today. The tropical storm is being steered by a mid- to upper-level trough and will likely continue on its general heading and speed for the day or so, followed by a turn toward due east by early Monday.

The tropical storm has remained over the Gulf Stream thus far, which is likely helping it to maintain its tropical structure in the face of an otherwise hostile upper-air environment. Some additional strengthening is possible today or early Sunday before Kyle becomes post-tropical. The exact timing of that transition is still somewhat uncertain, but it is clear that Kyle will become an extratropical cyclone by early next week. After becoming post-tropical, gradual weakening is anticipated until the system becomes poorly-defined and is absorbed by a larger extratropical low by the middle of the week, if not sooner.