The National Hurricane Center began issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Four late Wednesday evening. The system was located about 1500 miles east of the Lesser Antilles and was moving west-northwest at 14 mph. The classification of the season's fourth cyclone was based on satellite data and surface observations from nearby ships. More from @NHC_Atlantic: Defined […]

Since 1851, only three tropical cyclones have formed in the central or eastern Atlantic during the first ten days of July. The National Hurricane Center says it may happen this week.

June was unusually active in tropics Extremely rare in main development region No threats to Florida through the 4th Three named storms down, and the first month of the Atlantic Hurricane season isn't even over yet.  That alone is a bit unusual. The third named storm doesn't typically form (on average) until early August. It's […]

Florida could use a break. From the rain, that is. If you had any doubt the severe drought is over, this animation from the past month should help. Not only is the drought over, the June deluge has been relentless. In many cities, more rain has fallen in the first 23 days of June than […]

The blob of moisture of the Gulf that had so much “potential” is now officially a Tropical Storm. This means absolutely nothing to Florida. Tropical Storm Cindy never was, and never will produce much wind or surge. It will, however, result in a nearly continuous moderate to heavy rain over the western half of the […]

Development likely in next 48 hours Too early for specifics on track/strength Heavy rain risk in north FL and panhandle A tropical storm or depression making landfall in the Florida panhandle would certainly be cause for concern with regards to potential flooding. We believe this risk is present in some portions of Florida regardless. One […]

Tropical development likely by Tuesday UNlikely to be anything strong Regardless, heavy rain possible in north Florida Confidence has increased over the past 48 hours that a tropical depression or storm will form in the southern Gulf by Monday or Tuesday.  A credible forecast with regards to how strong it might become or where it […]

An area of low pressure is expected to form near the Yucatan Peninsula this weekend, and the National Hurricane Center says it has a "medium" chance of developing into  a tropical depression early next week.   Too Early for What and Where Several cluster of thunderstorms were seen on satellite data Friday morning in the western […]