The National Hurricane Center began issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Four late Wednesday evening. The system was located about 1500 miles east of the Lesser Antilles and was moving west-northwest at 14 mph.
The classification of the season’s fourth cyclone was based on satellite data and surface observations from nearby ships.
More from @NHC_Atlantic: Defined low-level center and persistent convection on west side are reasons for the advisories on #TD4. #flwx pic.twitter.com/W8r5gaukJ2
— Florida Storms (@FloridaStorms) July 6, 2017
The forecast for TD Four is rather grim. A large area of dry air is likely to keep it from strengthening much over the next 24 hours, and an increase in strong winds aloft may cause it to dissipate entirely by the weekend. The projected track of TD Four (or it’s remnants) takes it north of the Lesser Antilles over the weekend and somewhere east of The Bahamas by early next week. TD Four is not a threat to the United States or Florida.
BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Four Advisory Number 1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL042017
1100 PM AST Wed Jul 05 2017
…NEW TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS IN THE ATLANTIC…
…NOT EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM…
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST…0300 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————–
LOCATION…12.8N 38.4W
ABOUT 1545 MI…2485 KM E OF THE LESSER ANTILLES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…30 MPH…45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 14 MPH…22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1009 MB…29.80 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
——————————
At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Four
was located near latitude 12.8 North, longitude 38.4 West. The
depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h)
and this motion is expected to continue with an increase in forward
speed during the next couple of days.
Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours, and
the depression is not currently expected to become a tropical storm.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 mb (29.80 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
None
NEXT ADVISORY
————-
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.
