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Oppressive heat and strong storms in the forecast today

Elevated heat indices are expected for several hours Friday afternoon across the Sunshine State. During the evening, strong thunderstorms will likely become widespread across the peninsula.

IN THE TROPICS

WINDS
40 MPH
PRESSURE
1010 MB
MOVING
W AT 24 MPH
ALERTS
HAZARDS
SUMMARY

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The government of Venezuela has discontinued the Tropical Storm Warning for Islas de Margarita, Coche and Cubagua, and discontinued the Tropical Storm Watch for the coast of Venezuela from Pedernales to Cumana. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
- Bonaire
- Curacao
- Aruba
- Coast of Venezuela from the Peninsula de Paraguana westward to the Colombia/Venezuela border including the Gulf of Venezuela.
- Coast of Colombia from the Colombia/Venezuela border westward to Santa Marta A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. Interests elsewhere along the northern coast of Venezuela and the northern coast of Colombia should monitor the progress of this system. Interests in the southwestern Caribbean Sea and along the Caribbean coasts of Nicaragua and Costa Rica should also monitor the progress of this system. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service.


Key messages for Potential Tropical Cyclone Two can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO header WTNT42 KNHC.

RAINFALL: The Potential Tropical Cyclone is expected to produce heavy rain across the Windward Islands and northeast Venezuela today, and from the ABC Islands to portions of northern Venezuela and northeast Columbia today through Thursday morning. The following storm total rainfall amounts are expected: Windward Islands from St. Lucia to Trinidad and Tobago: 1 to 3 inches. North Central Venezuela: 4 to 6 inches. Aruba, Curacao and Bonaire to northwestern Venezuela and northern Colombia: 3 to 5 inches. Localized flash flooding will be possible.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected over the ABC Islands later today. Tropical storm conditions are expected in the warning area along the northwestern coast of Venezuela and along the coast of northeastern Colombia tonight and early Thursday.


At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the disturbance was centered near latitude 11.4 North, longitude 67.3 West. The system is moving toward the west near 24 mph (39 km/h), and a fast westward or west northwestward motion is expected through Friday. On the forecast track, the system will pass near the southern Caribbean Sea and the northern coast of Venezuela today, near the Guajira Peninsula of Colombia early Thursday and over the southwestern Caribbean Sea later on Thursday and on Friday. The system is expected to be near or over Nicaragua by Friday night. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next few days while the disturbance remains over water. Conditions appear conducive for development while the disturbance remains over water, and it is expected become a tropical storm while moving westward across the southern Caribbean Sea. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1010 mb (29.83 inches).

WINDS
40 MPH
PRESSURE
1010 MB
MOVING
W AT 30 MPH
ALERTS
HAZARDS
SUMMARY

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
- Islas de Margarita, Coche and Cubagua
- Bonaire
- Curacao
- Aruba
- Coast of Venezuela from the Peninsula de Paraguana westward to the Colombia/Venezuela border including the Gulf of Venezuela.
- Coast of Colombia from the Colombia/Venezuela border westward to Santa Marta

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
- Coast of Venezuela from Pedernales to Cumana

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

Interests elsewhere along the northern coast of Venezuela and the northern coast of Colombia should monitor the progress of this system. Interests in the southwestern Caribbean Sea and along the Caribbean coasts of Nicaragua and Costa Rica should also monitor the progress of this system.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service.


Key messages for Potential Tropical Cyclone Two can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO header WTNT42 KNHC.

RAINFALL: The Potential Tropical Cyclone is expected to produce heavy rain across the Windward Islands and northeast Venezuela today and from the ABC Islands to portions of northwest Venezuela and northeast Colombia today through Thursday morning. The following storm total rainfall amounts are expected:

Lesser Antilles from Guadeloupe to St. Lucia: 1 to 2 inches.

St. Vincent, the Grenadines, and Barbados: 2 to 4 inches.

Grenada, Trinidad, Tobago, and northeast Venezuela: 4 to 6 inches.

Aruba, Curacao and Bonaire to northwestern Venezuela and northeastern Colombia: 3 to 5 inches.

Localized flash flooding will be possible.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected in the warning area over Islas Margarita and the adjacent islands through this morning, and over the ABC Islands by this evening. Tropical storm conditions are expected in the warning area along the northwestern coast of Venezuela and northeastern Colombia tonight and early Thursday.


At 800 AM AST (1200 UTC), the disturbance was centered near latitude 11.4 North, longitude 66.4 West. The system is moving toward the west near 30 mph (48 km/h), and a westward or westnorthwestward motion is expected through Friday. On the forecast track, the system will pass near the southern Caribbean Sea and the northern coast of Venezuela today, near the Guajira Peninsula of Colombia early Thursday and over the southwestern Caribbean Sea on Friday.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next few days while the disturbance remains over water.

Conditions appear conducive for development while the disturbance remains over water, and it is expected become a tropical storm while moving westward across the southern Caribbean Sea. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

Tropicalstormforce winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1010 mb (29.83 inches).

WINDS
40 MPH
PRESSURE
1010 MB
MOVING
W AT 30 MPH
ALERTS
HAZARDS
SUMMARY

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Tropical Storm Warning for Grenada and its dependencies has been discontinued. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
- Islas de Margarita, Coche and Cubagua
- Bonaire
- Curacao
- Aruba
- Coast of Venezuela from the Peninsula de Paraguana westward to the Colombia/Venezuela border including the Gulf of Venezuela.
- Coast of Colombia from the Colombia/Venezuela border westward to Santa Marta A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
- Coast of Venezuela from Pedernales to Cumana A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. Interests elsewhere along the northern coast of Venezuela and the northern coast of Colombia should monitor the progress of this system. Interests in the southwestern Caribbean Sea and along the Caribbean coasts of Nicaragua and Costa Rica should also monitor the progress of this system. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service.


Key messages for Potential Tropical Cyclone Two can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO header WTNT42 KNHC.

RAINFALL: The Potential Tropical Cyclone is expected to produce heavy rain across the Windward Islands and northeast Venezuela today and from the ABC Islands to portions of northwest Venezuela and northeast Colombia today through Thursday morning. The following storm total rainfall amounts are expected: Lesser Antilles from Guadeloupe to St. Lucia: 1 to 2 inches. St. Vincent, the Grenadines, and Barbados: 2 to 4 inches. Grenada, Trinidad, Tobago, and northeast Venezuela: 4 to 6 inches. Aruba, Curacao and Bonaire to northwestern Venezuela and northeastern Colombia: 3 to 5 inches. Localized flash flooding will be possible.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected in the warning area over Islas Margarita and the adjacent islands through this morning, and over the ABC Islands by this evening. Tropical storm conditions are expected in the warning area along the northwestern coast of Venezuela and northeastern Colombia tonight and early Thursday. Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch area in northeastern Venezuela for the next few hours.


At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the disturbance was centered near latitude 11.3 North, longitude 65.4 West. The system is moving toward the west near 30 mph (48 km/h), and a westward or west northwestward motion is expected through Thursday. On the forecast track, the system will pass near the southern Caribbean Sea and the northern coast of Venezuela today, near the Guajira Peninsula of Colombia early Thursday and over the southwestern Caribbean Sea on Friday. Maximum sustained winds remain near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next few days while the disturbance remains over water. Conditions appear conducive for development while the disturbance remains over water, and it is expected become a tropical storm while moving westward across the southern Caribbean Sea. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1010 mb (29.83 inches).

WATCHING CLOSELY
NHC: Low chance of tropical development in next five days.
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