Drier air and higher pressure aloft favor a quiet week of weather across the Sunshine State. And despite three areas of interest being monitored for possible tropical development, strong winds aloft will prevent them from becoming threats over the next five days.

The first disturbance of note was an area of low pressure located just east of North Carolina, referred to by meteorologists as Invest 92L. In their 8 pm Tropical Outlook, the National Hurricane Center said dry air and strong upper-level winds are likely to prevent it from acquiring tropical characteristics as it moves away from the United States this week.

The circulation around 92L, has allowed this drier air aloft to move all the way into Florida. This will effectively reduce or eliminate rain chances across most of the state for several days. The only exception will be spotty and brief showers that form from an onshore east-northeasterly flow along the eastern half of the peninsula each afternoon. Rain chances will be highest where low-level moisture is the greatest, which is projected to be mostly in east-central and southeast Florida. Otherwise, a generally dry and comfortable weather pattern is in the forecast for most of the upcoming work week statewide.

5-DAY TROPICAL OUTLOOK
No new tropical development expected in the Atlantic, Caribbean or Gulf of Mexico over the next five days.

Two other disturbances have been identified as having "low chances" of tropical development, but are likely to also encounter inhibiting conditions. One was located south of Puerto Rico, and the other a few hundred miles east of the Lesser Antilles. While brief tropical development remains possible, their eventual outcome will likely be doomed by the same vast area of strong winds aloft covering much of the Southeast, western Atlantic, and the Caribbean.

The peak of the 2021 Atlantic Hurricane Season has passed, but Florida is still susceptible to landfalling tropical systems this time of year. However, long-range forecast data suggests the deterrent factors that are present now - namely the dry air and high amounts of wind shear - are likely to be around through at least the next 10 days. Nonetheless, tropical storms or hurricanes have and still could impact the United States in late October and through much of November.

LOCATED 690 MI ENE OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND
MOVING N AT 23 MPH
WINDS 80 MPH
PRESSURE 970 MB

LOCATED 610 MI E OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND
MOVING NNE AT 29 MPH
WINDS 85 MPH
PRESSURE 965 MB

LOCATED 520 MI E OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND
MOVING NE AT 36 MPH
WINDS 90 MPH
PRESSURE 965 MB

LOCATED 1410 MI W OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS
MOVING WNW AT 15 MPH
WINDS 30 MPH
PRESSURE 1011 MB

LOCATED 460 MI SE OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND
MOVING NE AT 32 MPH
WINDS 100 MPH
PRESSURE 960 MB

LOCATED 1300 MI W OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS
MOVING WNW AT 14 MPH
WINDS 30 MPH
PRESSURE 1009 MB

LOCATED 465 MI SSE OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND
MOVING NE AT 30 MPH
WINDS 105 MPH
PRESSURE 957 MB

LOCATED 1260 MI W OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS
MOVING NW AT 15 MPH
WINDS 35 MPH
PRESSURE 1007 MB

LOCATED 520 MI S OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND
MOVING NE AT 20 MPH
WINDS 105 MPH
PRESSURE 957 MB

Loading...