Data from the NOAA Hurricane Hunters Sunday found there to be a well-defined center to the area of low pressure near the Florida Keys, formerly known as Invest 99. The National Hurricane Center began issuing advisories on newly-formed Tropical Depression Nine at 5 pm. The system is expected to strengthen into a tropical storm Monday and potentially move across the northern half of the Florida peninsula by Thursday.
[tropics-maps]
While confidence is reasonably high that Depression Nine will turn north and eventually northeast across Florida, the National Hurricane Center issued an important statement in their first advisory,
“Needless to say, the confidence in the intensity forecast is even lower than usual for this system.”
For several days, forecast models have had a difficult time staying consistent in their rendering of this system. Even at this hour, some data suggests it will struggle to form or dissipate entirely, whereas equally weighted data (in terms of credibility) shows a much grimmer outcome that a hurricane might hit the state.
The current forecast from the National Hurricane Center is noted as “quite conservative” by their lead forecasters. For this reason, all Floridians are strongly encouraged to stay informed of future updates on the progression of Tropical Depression Nine.
[tropics-impacts]
[tropics-storm]
1885 Stadium Road
PO Box 118405
Gainesville, FL 32611
(352) 392-5551
A service of WUFT at the University of Florida College of Journalism and Communications
Partners of the Florida Public Radio Emergency Network include: Florida's Division of Emergency Management, WDNA (Miami), WFIT (Melbourne), WMFE (Orlando), WFSU (Tallahassee), WGCU (Fort Myers), WJCT (Jacksonville), WKGC (Panama City), WLRN (Miami), WMNF (Tampa-Sarasota), WQCS (Fort Pierce), WUFT (Gainesville-Ocala), WUSF (Tampa), WUWF (Pensacola) and Florida Public Media.
This page uses the Google Privacy Policy and UF's Privacy Policy