System East of Jacksonville Unlikely to Develop

Chances were decreasing that a tropical system will form from a weak area of low pressure approaching Northeast Florida Monday morning.

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WATCHING CLOSELY

NHC: Low chance of tropical development in next five days.

Issued: 410 PM EDT Wed Apr 24 2024

East-Central Subtropical Atlantic:An area of low pressure located about 900 miles northwest of the Cabo Verde Islands has been producing a small but persistent area of showers and thunderstorms to the east of its center since this morning. However, the low is forecast to move southwestward at 10 to 15 mph into an area of stronger upper-level winds tonight and tomorrow, and additional development is not expected.

No additional Special Tropical Weather Outlooks are scheduled for this system unless conditions warrant. Regularly scheduled Tropical Weather Outlooks will resume on May 15, 2024, and Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as necessary during the remainder of the off-season.
Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

$$Forecaster Berg/Brown NNNN

Showers from the tropical low are spreading westward into Nassau, Duval, Baker, Clay, Putnam, and St. Johns counties. These showers may be heavy for brief periods today, along with gusty winds at the coast, but the chances of a tropical depression forming are decreasing. The low is expected to move inland later Monday or Monday night over Northeast Florida and Southeast Georgia, ending the possibility of further development.

Strong storms are also expected Monday afternoon and evening across mainly inland portions of Central Florida, largely due to interactions from sea breezes as opposed to the nearby tropical area of low pressure.