English English Spanish Español
Powered by WUFT
Temporarily change filter
Finding your station

Tropical system possible in Gulf next week; Franklin likely to intensify

August 24, 2023

The National Hurricane Center is now marking a spot from the northwest Caribbean into the eastern Gulf of Mexico with a moderate chance for development. Current data and tropical models are signaling that an area of low pressure may evolve along the East Pacific coast of Central America.

It’s important to note this potential area low pressure has not started developing just yet. Confidence is usually not high in tropical models tracking a system that does not yet exist, so expect much uncertainty to continue until these signals turn into an actual system.

For now, most reliable models are showing consistent signs for something to evolve and push into the northwest Caribbean this weekend, then possibly the Gulf next week. For preparation purposes, the NHC has appropriately highlighted this area as something to watch. And at this moment, that’s all we need to do.

Systems like Tropical Storm Franklin are well developed, so confidence is much higher in the track and intensity. Franklin is now becoming better organized after pulling away from the Greater Antilles and will likely become a hurricane over the weekend. If conditions remain favorable, the storm has a good chance to strengthen into a category 2 as it wobbles northward next week. Regardless of how much Franklin intensifies, it will not pose a direct threat to Floridians. However, the storm will cause rough surf and rip currents along Atlantic beaches.

The tropics are expected to stay active as peak hurricane season approaches the next several weeks. Whether or not that system develops and moves into the Gulf, it’s always a great idea to check your hurricane plan and supplies.

Sources include nearest National Weather Service office, National Hurricane Center, and the Florida Public Radio Emergency Network (@FloridaStorms).
Sources include nearby emergency management agencies, FEMA, and your local NPR affiliate. 
Sources include the Florida Department of Transportation, Florida Highway Patrol and other nearby traffic information.

1885 Stadium Road
PO Box 118405
Gainesville, FL 32611
(352) 392-5551

A service of WUFT at the University of Florida College of Journalism and Communications 

Partners of the Florida Public Radio Emergency Network include: Florida's Division of Emergency Management, WDNA (Miami), WFIT (Melbourne), WMFE (Orlando), WFSU (Tallahassee), WGCU (Fort Myers), WJCT (Jacksonville), WKGC (Panama City), WLRN (Miami), WMNF (Tampa-Sarasota), WQCS (Fort Pierce), WUFT (Gainesville-Ocala), WUSF (Tampa), WUWF (Pensacola) and Florida Public Media.

linkedin facebook pinterest youtube rss twitter instagram facebook-blank rss-blank linkedin-blank pinterest youtube twitter instagram