September 27, 2015
Invest 99: Most Likely "Rain Without a Name"

Many meteorologists have dubbed the phrase "rain without a name" over the years, accounting for heavy rain that can occur from a tropical weather system even if it isn't officially named. For some Floridians, this has happened twice already this summer. And that's just what may happen with Invest 99, the disturbance the National Hurricane Center is […]

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September 25, 2015
Watching Gulf: Too Early for Specifics

A disorganized area of thunderstorms near the Yucatan peninsula is being closely monitored for possible tropical development in the coming days. If tropical development were to occur, forecast data suggests the system could potentially start to influence the weather pattern across The Sunshine State, largely in the form of an increase in rain chances, on […]

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September 24, 2015
Video: Development Possible in Gulf Next Week

The last six tropical storms to develop in the Atlantic Basin haven't made it through the so-called El Niño barrier in the Caribbean. This is where upper level winds have been too strong to support upscale development or even passage of a storm. Two have tried (Danny, Erika), but the others haven't even come close (Fred, Grace, Henri, Ida). […]

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September 23, 2015
State of the 2015 Hurricane Season

The 2015 Hurricane Season is nearly two-thirds over, and judging by the number of storms alone, it's on track to be a normal year.  Nine named storms have formed, and the 30-year average for an entire season is twelve.  However, a different measuring tool - accumulated cyclone energy (or ACE) - reveals that the year has been only 25% as active […]

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September 23, 2015
Influences from El Niño Likely in Florida by Late Fall

Some Floridians don’t want any more rain, while others just a few miles away are almost desperate for it. For example, Tampa has a rainfall surplus (compared to normal) of nearly 20 inches for the year so far, whereas just a short drive down I-75 to Naples takes you into an area with a deficit […]

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September 22, 2015
Ida Wandering, Watching Gulf Next Week

Tropical Storm Ida is lost at sea. Literally. Upper-level winds are too weak to steer it in any direction, so it’s likely to meander in the central Atlantic for days. Keeping with the trends of the past six tropical systems that have originated in this region, Ida will not be a threat to the United […]

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September 16, 2015
Heavy Rain Possible Along Both Coasts Wednesday and Thursday

It probably seems like a broken record to residents of central Florida who live near the Gulf coast. Another heavy rain event is on its way that could produce localized flooding. This time, however, the heavy rain may also fall along sections of the Atlantic coast. The soggy setup is a bit different this week, thanks to a stronger […]

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September 10, 2015
Strong El Niño Almost Certain to Continue This Winter

We knew El Niño was coming, and on Thursday Mike Halpert, Deputy Director of NOAA's Climate Prediction Center, made it official. "2015's El Niño now ranks third behind 1997 and 1985." It was in the winter of 97-98 that 42 Floridians were killed by tornadoes and severe weather produced more than a half billion dollars […]

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