There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
None
None
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Wilfred was located near latitude 13.4 North, longitude 38.1 West. Wilfred is moving toward the westnorthwest near 14 mph (22 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue for the next few days.
Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in intensity is expected for the next day or so, followed by gradual weakening on Monday. Wilfred is expected to become a remnant low by Monday night and dissipate on Tuesday.
Tropicalstormforce winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Wilfred was located near latitude 13.4 North, longitude 38.1 West. Wilfred is moving toward the westnorthwest near 14 mph (22 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue for the next few days.
Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in intensity is expected for the next day or so, followed by gradual weakening on Monday. Wilfred is expected to become a remnant low by Monday night and dissipate on Tuesday.
Tropicalstormforce winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).
Wilfred still consists of a very small low-level circulation embedded within an elongated area of low pressure. There has been a bit of an increase in deep convection near/over the estimated center during the past few hours, and the intensity remains 35 kt based on the latest Dvorak classifications from TAFB and SAB and UW-CIMSS SATCON.
Wilfred will be moving over SSTs of around 28C but will experience a gradual increase in westerly shear during the next 24 to 36 hours as an upper-level trough amplifies to the northwest, and this should result in little change in strength during that time. Beyond that time, the cyclone moves into a drier and more stable airmass, which should result in the system becoming a remnant low and dissipating in 60 to 72 hours. The new NHC intensity forecast is close to the latest IVCN consensus.
The initial motion estimate based on the latest satellite fixes is 285/12. Wilfred should continue moving generally west- northwestward for the next 24 to 36 hours and then turn more westward by 48 h as it becomes a shallower system. The new NHC track forecast is a bit faster than the previous one and has been adjusted farther south at 36 h and beyond, trending toward the latest consensus aids.
Wilfred still consists of a very small low-level circulation embedded within an elongated area of low pressure. There has been a bit of an increase in deep convection near/over the estimated center during the past few hours, and the intensity remains 35 kt based on the latest Dvorak classifications from TAFB and SAB and UW-CIMSS SATCON.
Wilfred will be moving over SSTs of around 28C but will experience a gradual increase in westerly shear during the next 24 to 36 hours as an upper-level trough amplifies to the northwest, and this should result in little change in strength during that time. Beyond that time, the cyclone moves into a drier and more stable airmass, which should result in the system becoming a remnant low and dissipating in 60 to 72 hours. The new NHC intensity forecast is close to the latest IVCN consensus.
The initial motion estimate based on the latest satellite fixes is 285/12. Wilfred should continue moving generally west- northwestward for the next 24 to 36 hours and then turn more westward by 48 h as it becomes a shallower system. The new NHC track forecast is a bit faster than the previous one and has been adjusted farther south at 36 h and beyond, trending toward the latest consensus aids.
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